Let's talk about confidence dropping like a rock and hitting a 12-year low....
Belle of the Ranch
Belle of the Ranch
4.9 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 29 March 2025
⏱️ 4 minutes
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Summary
Let's talk about confidence dropping like a rock and hitting a 12-year low....
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Well, howdy there, Internet people, it's Bell again. |
| 0:04.0 | So today, we're going to talk about consumer confidence hitting the low not seen since the last time Trump was in office. |
| 0:13.0 | So consumer confidence is now at the lowest levels since the last month of Trump's first term. |
| 0:19.0 | But that's actually not the bad news. I mean, |
| 0:22.8 | it's bad news, but it's not the worst news. So again, quick recap, consumer confidence is a gauge |
| 0:30.2 | that determines how we as American consumers feel about the economy. Facts don't care about your feelings. |
| 0:37.2 | The economy does. If you're worried about the economy, it influences the economy. Facts don't care about your feelings. The economy does. If you're worried |
| 0:39.9 | about the economy, it influences how you interact with the economy. The Conference Board |
| 0:45.6 | Consumer Confidence Index of current conditions fell by 7.2 points in March to 92.9. That's the lowest level since the last month Trump was in office last |
| 0:57.5 | time. And this month's drop was the fourth consecutive drop, meaning it's dropped every month |
| 1:03.7 | since Trump was elected. But the real news is the future expectations score. The expectations |
| 1:10.5 | index fell 9.6 points to 65.2. That's the lowest |
| 1:15.9 | level in 12 years. Other than the obvious sign of a weakening of faith that things will turn |
| 1:21.8 | around, why does that matter and why is it bad news? Anything below 80 is widely seen as an indication that |
| 1:30.0 | recession is ahead. When it dipped below that threshold last month, a lot of people who believe |
| 1:36.1 | in the current economic course believed it would turn around and go back above 80. That did not happen. |
| 1:43.0 | The exact opposite occurred and the drop in expectations |
| 1:46.5 | is pretty severe. But there's news that might be even more of an indication of recession ahead. |
| 1:53.8 | Stephanie Guasher, senior economist, global indicators at the conference board, said, quote, |
| 2:00.5 | consumers' optimism about future income, which had held up quite strongly in the past few months, |
| 2:07.5 | largely vanished, suggesting worries about the economy and labor market |
| 2:12.3 | have started to spread into consumers' assessments of their personal situations. |
... |
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