I'm John Balschior, George Friedman, the founder and chairman of Geopolitical futures.

A subscription site I hardly recommend, it ranges around the world right now we're concentrating on the Ukraine

conflict and there is a peace gesture or a ceasefire

gesture or an offer from the Kremlin to end the act of fighting and organize Ukraine in a dramatic

new way that is also historically based.

The eastern part of Ukraine, essentially what the Russians have occupied, George says 20% of the country,

would be Russian, Ovo Russia, although it doesn't extend all the way to Odessa, which would have been the traditional

noverossia. The rest of the country, which is very large, would remain in

Ukrainian hands. However, there's also caveats and they have been in the past significant.

One is that the EU might embrace Ukraine,

but the Rump Ukraine does not become NATO.

The rump Ukraine is also demilitarized.

I don't know whether he adds these in each time,

but there are conditions that are immediately unacceptable

to Mr. Zelensky.

In the meantime, since that gesture was made by the Kremlin,

Mr. Zelensky has been campaigning to use the missiles

and weapons that he has from NATO to strike deeper into Russia and

he's looking for EU permission.

So George, we have a ceasefire offer from the Kremlin, I won't say more more than that and a let me open fire from

Keith this doesn't look to be a balance do you see it being resolved well let's

remember what that peace offer was. He said that the Russians would end the

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