Good morning, everyone, the simple handicap for Wednesday, January 5th.

Thank you for making me a part of your morning.

NFL week 18 continues to be messy from start to finish.

Lots of games moving around.

Nothing too, too crazy.

We've sort of anticipated a lot of these numbers moving,

but it just continues to be a lot of uncertainty and a lot of unanswered questions that's driving a lot of these numbers moving, but it just continues to be a lot of uncertainty and a lot of

unanswered questions that's driving a lot of the line movement. Before I get into the games

which are moving and get into the market rundown, Rick Grechuk, I hope I said it right,

sent me a message on Twitter. And this was a real message. I'm not just using this to force a story. This was something that Rick actually sent to me. It says, Adam, I enjoy the show. Thank you for listening. I would love to hear your thoughts that you mentioned about closing line value and why it's important. And again, this is not preset. This was an actual message that came through because I teased it a little bit on Sunday

in regards to the tweet that I sent Sunday morning.

So I would just express this from the most basic way I know how,

just like I did explaining the bookmakers, different types of models,

and why prices move last week.

Plain and simple.

When it comes to NFL sides and totals,

and it's key to put that in emphasis, NFL sides and totals.

This is what I'm talking to.

If you make a bet that is at a price better than the closing odds for the game,

which you bet, you are going to win money long term if you're doing

that more often than not. Plain and simple. When books open a number on Sunday night, the limits

are lower because they have a lot of uncertainty about what the true price for that game should be.

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