meta_pixel
Tapesearch Logo
Log in
The Briefing Room

Is the triple lock pension guarantee sustainable?

The Briefing Room

BBC

News, News Commentary

4.8731 Ratings

🗓️ 16 April 2026

⏱️ 29 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

This month retired people saw their state pensions rise by 4.8 per cent. That’s comfortably above the current inflation rate and means that some pensioners have increases this year of as much as £575. That’s because of the Triple Lock guarantee which is a formula set 15 years ago and which some economists say is costing the government too much and should be scrapped. But it’s meant that the state pension has risen over recent years, pensioner poverty is far less of a problem and not surprisingly it’s popular with voters. David Aaronovitch asks what exactly is the triple lock, can we still afford it and is there an alternative?

Guests

Carl Emmerson, Partner at London Economics Sophie Hale, Research Director, Resolution Foundation Steve Webb, Partner at LCP and former Pensions Minister in Coalition Government

Presenter: David Aaronovitch Producers: Caroline Bayley, Kirsteen Knight, Sally Abrahams Production co-ordinator: Maria Ogundele Sound engineers: Rod Farquhar and Dave O'Neill Editor: Richard Vadon

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

BBC Sounds, Music, Radio, podcasts.

0:09.0

This month, retired people saw their state pensions rise by just under 5%.

0:14.7

That's comfortably above the current inflation rate.

0:18.6

How come? The triple lock is how come. A formula set 15 years ago

0:23.6

that economists hate, arguing that it's unsustainable and wrong, and that politicians profess to

0:29.6

love and are careful to put in their manifestos. It all sounds a bit mad. So what exactly

0:36.2

is the triple lock? Can we still afford it? And if not,

0:40.1

what's the alternative? Step into the briefing room and together we'll find out.

0:47.6

To discuss this, I'm joined by Carl Emerson, who's a partner at London Economics,

0:52.6

Sophie Hale, who's researched director at the Resolution Foundation, and Steve Webb, who's a partner at London Economics, Sophie Hale, who's research director at the Resolution Foundation,

0:56.1

and Steve Webb, who's a partner at the Pensions Consultancy, LCP,

1:00.2

but over 10 years ago he was an MP,

1:02.4

and indeed he was the pensions minister when the triple lock was introduced.

1:06.4

First of all, let's find out how this formula actually works.

1:09.8

Carl Emerson, if I can pick in with you, can you explain to us exactly what the triple

1:13.0

lock is and how it works?

1:15.6

So the triple lock is the mechanism by which the flat rate part of the UK state pension

1:20.5

system has increased each year.

1:22.2

So the basic state pension, that's available to people who reach the state pension age

1:26.0

before 2016, so they're 75 or over today.

1:29.4

It increases by the triple lock each year.

1:32.2

And the new state pension, which is more generous and available to those who reach the state pension age after 2016.

...

Please login to see the full transcript.

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from BBC, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of BBC and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.

Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.