Is the Harris Campaign in a Vibe Emergency? The Jewish Vote. The Economy Puzzle. (with Karol Markowicz and JD Durkin)

Politics Politics Politics

Justin Robert Young

Election, History, Trump, White, Government, House, Riots, Mail, Biden, News, Politics

4.6 • 870 Ratings

🗓️ 16 October 2024

⏱️ 107 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The campaign known for booming vibes has hit a recession.

None of Kamala Harris’ polls in the Rustbelt have increased in October. Some averages are verging on the dreaded 47% line.

That's bad news. Donald Trump is a hard capped 48 % candidate, but you can count on that 48% showing up.

What’s more? Other indicators are pointing the wrong direction for Coconut Hive.

Nate Silver on his Silver Bulletin Substack has the race back to a 50% tossup.

Think what you will about the prediction markets, but Polymarket money is beginning to pile on a Trump victory.

Harris ‘24 knows they need a vibe shift and so they will take a risk! Harris will do an interview with Fox News today. This decision is being hailed as bold and it is.

But it’s also a massive risk.

Kamala has never faced an adversarial interview in her career. Not in California, not in DC, not in her 2019 campaign. This is a big stage to experiment on.

Will it pay off?

We discuss that and so much more…

Karol’s Substack on the Jewish vote in 2024.

JD Durkin LIVE FROM THE NYSE FLOOR on the economy.

This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Transcript

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0:00.0	On this edition of the program, soft polls, Donald Trump feels confident, is it time to declare a vibe emergency for the Kamala Harris campaign as we enter into the final three weeks?
0:11.0	Carol Markowitz of the New York Post and Fox News talks to
0:14.6	us about the Jewish vote. J.D. Durkin talks to us live from the New York Stock Exchange
0:20.3	about the economy. Oh, we mentioned Grover Cleveland.
0:24.0	It's all coming up.
0:26.0	Following is brought to you by just another pilot. Oh, yes. Comeo, comeo,
0:44.0	Hey!
0:45.0	You made you.
0:47.0	Oh, yeah.
0:48.0	Oh, yes.
0:51.0	Comeo, come on, come on, Hello and welcome everybody to the politics politics
0:59.0	politics program for October 16th, 2024,
1:05.0	your old pal Justin Robert Young joining you here in Austin, Texas.
1:09.0	And we have good news off the top,
1:12.0	and that is that you folks the supporters of this show have
1:17.5	really really showed up while early voting is beginning in our election, we are looking at our returns too.
1:25.0	Of course, we have moved from Patreon to Substack.
1:28.6	We have the most gracious deal that we've ever offered for one year of PX3 bonus content 150 episodes for
1:36.4	one less than $100 for $99 and as we speak right now if you just look at the amount of comps that came in that we offered
1:46.1	for everybody that was on Patreon and you look at where our sub-stack subscribers are right now.
1:52.8	We have eclipsed 50% within the seven day period of when we launch that.
2:02.0	That's very good, in my opinion, that is very good because that
	...

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