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Hello and welcome to you Coffee House Shots,

spectators, daily politics, quad class.

I'm Isbacardman and I'm joined by Katie Bulls and James Forsyth.

Well we've had not only the results of the Wakefield

Motivity and Honiton by elections, which the Conservatives lost,

the Motivity and Honiton lost being particularly bad given the swing to the Lib Dems.

And we've also had the resignation of Oliver Dowden as Conservative Party Chairman,

in a letter in which he said that somebody needed to take responsibility and that was him,

although obviously the implication was that somebody else might need to do that as well,

and that the party could not continue with business as usual.

James, this is a pretty devastating picture for Boris Johnson,

but he's safe because Tory and P's have already had their vote of no confidence in him.

I don't mean that anyone is talking about changing the rules now.

It would clearly look absurd to try and change the rules two weeks on.

But what I think these results and Oliver Dowden's resignation make more likely

is that when a new 922 executive is elected before Parliament goes down for the summer,

it will have a majority on it of MPs who are prepared to change the rules if the circumstances

require it. And I think what is so quietly devastating about Oliver Dowden's resignation letter is

that when you have a swing of almost 30% against you in Tibitum, which is kind of one of those seats

...