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The World Next Week

Iran’s Succession Woes, ICC Angers Israel, South Africa’s Election, and More

The World Next Week

Council on Foreign Relations

Politics, News, News:politics

4.6845 Ratings

🗓️ 23 May 2024

⏱️ 29 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Iran’s regime carefully vets candidates for new presidential elections after the death of President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash; Israeli leadership reacts to the International Criminal Court (ICC) request for warrants to arrest Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant; South Africa prepares for a general election that could contest the ruling African National Congress’ long-standing majority; and Taiwan inaugurates Lai Ching-te as the new president, aggravating China.   Mentioned on the Podcast   Elbridge Colby, “America Must Face Reality and Prioritize China Over Europe,” Financial Times   Virtual Media Briefing: Iran After Raisi and New ICC Charges, Council on Foreign Relations   For an episode transcript and show notes, visit The World Next Week at: https://www.cfr.org/podcasts/irans-succession-woes-icc-angers-israel-south-africas-election-and-more

Transcript

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0:00.0

In the coming week, Iran prepares for snap elections after the death of President Raeisi.

0:05.0

Israel responds to ICC warrant requests for its Prime Minister and Defense Minister,

0:10.0

and South Africa holds general elections.

0:12.0

It's May 23rd, 2024, on time for the world next week. I'm Bob McMahon.

0:28.2

And I'm Carl Ann Robbins.

0:30.2

Bob, let's start with Iran.

0:32.1

The death and a helicopter crash of Iran's president has raised major questions about its future power structure. Not only was

0:38.9

Raeisi president, he was believed to be on the shortlist to succeed Iran's supreme leader, who was 85 and

0:44.8

reportedly in ill health. What should we expect from Iran's presidential elections, which are now

0:49.8

scheduled for June 28th? And Iranians are so disaffected from their leaders that much to the

0:55.0

government's embarrassment, only 41% of voters turned out for legislative elections in March,

1:00.0

if you believe those numbers. Yes, there's a lot of interesting maneuvering going on to say the

1:06.5

least, Carla, in terms of both internally, but also messaging to the world. There's desire to show that

1:14.2

despite its heavy sanctioning, for example, Iran is getting all sorts of state leaders from across

1:21.2

the board coming. That's kind of a mixed picture right now. And by the way, with the Supreme

1:25.1

Leader's health, it's one of those cases where, you know,

1:28.8

we've been talking about the ill health of commenting for I think maybe 15 years now.

1:33.1

So it's not to say that at 85, he's going to be around a lot longer, but I'm not sure

1:37.6

anything's imminent as of yet.

1:39.7

At the same time, Iranians themselves have been talking about it in their power chambers,

1:43.6

about succession process. And you're absolutely right, Reisi was considered a suitable stand-in.

1:49.0

Kamene himself served as president before he rose to Supreme Leader.

...

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