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🗓️ 1 September 2022
⏱️ 31 minutes
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Join us for another discussion with Michael Kofman on the war in Ukraine. The main focus of this episode is the southern counter-offensive launched by Ukrainian forces early this week. Mike explains what has happened so far in this operation, centered around Kherson, and how observers should think about it as it unfolds. The two also discuss what Ukrainian combined arms warfare looks like, manpower challenges on both sides, the airpower picture, and how the counter-offensive is affecting the war in different parts of the country. Also, what is happening in Belarus as far as this war is concerned? And is either side prepared for how long this war is likely to last?
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0:15.8 | You are listening to the War on the Rocks podcast on strategy, defense, and foreign affairs. My name is Ryan Evans and I'm sitting here again with Michael Kaufman to talk about the war in Ukraine. |
0:20.4 | Mike, the Ukrainian counter-offensive around Kirsona's the topic on everyone's lips right now. |
0:24.7 | Could you talk to us about what's going on with this counter-offensive when it started where it seems to be focused? |
0:30.8 | Sure, so the Ukrainian offensive so far seems to have |
0:33.8 | have three main axis of advance, right? The first one was far north and |
0:37.8 | there's been fighting up there for the past several months, a fairly dynamic |
0:42.2 | battlefield. This is coming down from a |
0:44.4 | creepy rig and this is basically pinching and advancing into Russian lines. |
0:50.3 | For example, in your town like Yubimovka and whatnot, and they are the Russian forces that |
0:56.8 | always been relatively stretched them. |
0:59.2 | The second one, I think probably from my primary, the most important one is down the middle. |
1:03.2 | Over the past three months Ukrainian forces have been trying to make incremental |
1:06.6 | gains around the town called DeVito Brid and essentially establish a bridge head |
1:12.1 | across the river that runs to this region. |
1:14.4 | It's called the Inhalats River and it basically runs all the way down to the Nipper. |
1:20.6 | And this river is quite important because striking bridges along this river constrains |
1:27.2 | Russia's ability to maneuver through the region, reinforced forces across the territory. They hold in Kirsun. And of course getting across |
1:36.8 | the river and taking control of the major ground lines of communications, the highway, |
1:40.5 | that's probably one of Ukraine's key objectives and I suspect what they're trying to do |
1:44.3 | is they're trying to sever Russian forces in half. |
1:47.2 | Essentially cut off the Russian units that are north of Kerson from those that are |
1:51.4 | defending the actual city of |
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