This is the Daily Blast from the New Republic, produced and presented by the DSR Network.

I'm your host, Greg Sargent.

This week, a group of prominent never-Trump Republicans and conservatives announced that

they will spend $50 million to defeat Donald Trump this fall.

The group, which is called Republican Voters Against Trump, is hoping to appeal to voters who

backed him in 2020, but might be persuaded not to in

2024 due to a variety of reasons, such as his participation in the January 6th insurrection.

But how big a pool of voters is this really?

Is it really possible to flip enough of them to make a real difference in the core battleground

states?

What really motivates these voters,

and what's the best way to reach them? To get answers, we invited on Sarah Longwell, who runs

Republican voters against Trump and regularly conducts focus groups to figure out what makes them

tick. Welcome, Sarah. Hey, thanks for having me. Democratic strategists I talk to look at your effort, and their first question is,

how big is the slice of voters?

By this, I mean what percentages of 2020 Trump voters are genuinely getable in battlegrounds

like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada?

Yeah, well, so I look at it slightly differently to that, because to come up with that actual number is difficult. But here's what I know

about the Republican Party. There is a 70-30 split that you see come up over and over again. So if you

ask people, do you think the election was stolen? About 70% of Republicans say yes. About 30% say no.

You ask, and many polls have done this recently, if Donald Trump is convicted of a crime,

will you still vote for him? 70% say yes. About 30% say no. Nikki Haley is getting about 28%,

...