IL20: How to Survive the Current Fourth Turning ft. Neil Howe
Top Traders Unplugged
Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
4.8 • 670 Ratings
🗓️ 23 August 2023
⏱️ 82 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Best-selling author and renowned historian Neil Howe joins the show to talk about his New York Times’ bestselling book The Fourth Turning Is Here. Neil believes history moves in generational cycles that last about the length of one long human life. Each cycle has four eras - Turnings - that always arrive in the same order and last about twenty years. We are now midway through a Fourth Turning which is a time of exceptional upheaval and conflict. Previous Fourth Turnings happened during the Great Depression and WWII, the American Civil War and the American Revolution. The good news is a society that successfully navigates a Fourth Turning emerges reborn - more equal, more optimistic and more united. We discuss the implications of this era for financial markets, why it will be the Millennial generation that leads us through the coming conflict and what will characterize the world that emerges afterwards.
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Episode TimeStamps:
02:15 - Introduction to Neil Howe
03:43 - What characterise each turning?
17:53 - A generation cliff
25:18 - The importance of the financial crisis in 2008
27:55 - Cycles are...
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | We never solve on bright sunny days when everyone feels comfortable. |
| 0:11.8 | We always do it on dark stormy nights when our backs are against the wall. |
| 0:16.2 | That's when we write our new constitutions. |
| 0:18.8 | That's when we start regulating the national banks. You're |
| 0:21.3 | creating a federal currency or creating Social Security. You name it, right? Whenever we come up with |
| 0:27.5 | these huge new ways of shaping our national community is always at a time when it seems like the least |
| 0:37.0 | likely time to do it. |
| 0:39.8 | Imagine spending an hour with the world's greatest traders. |
| 0:43.7 | Imagine learning from their experiences, their successes, their successes, and their failures. |
| 0:48.1 | Imagine no more. |
| 0:49.9 | Welcome to Top Traders Unplugged, the place where you can learn from the best hedge fund managers in the world, |
| 0:56.0 | so you can take your manager, due diligence, or investment career to the next level. |
| 1:00.0 | Before we begin today's conversation, remember to keep two things in mind. |
| 1:04.0 | All the discussion we'll have about investment performance is about the past, |
| 1:08.0 | and past performance does not guarantee or even infer anything |
| 1:11.9 | about future performance. |
| 1:13.6 | Also understand that there's a significant risk of financial loss with all investment strategies, |
| 1:17.8 | and you need to request and understand the specific risks from the investment manager |
| 1:22.4 | about their product before you make investment decisions. |
| 1:25.7 | Here's your host, veteran hedge fund manager, Niels Kostrup Larson. |
| 1:34.9 | For me, the best part of my podcasting journey has been the opportunity to speak to a huge range |
| 1:40.5 | of extraordinary people from all around the world. |
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