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The Interview

Ian Goldin: Will Covid-19 cause a new recession?

The Interview

BBC

News, Politics, Government

4.3537 Ratings

🗓️ 13 March 2020

⏱️ 23 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Covid-19 crisis is not only a threat to people's health and wellbeing, it is already having severe financial consequences, which many fear will result in a crisis of the kind we saw over a decade ago. Zeinab Badawi interviews Ian Goldin, a professor on globalisation and development, who six years ago predicted that the next financial crash would be caused by a pandemic. Will his prophesy come to pass, or can this be averted?

Transcript

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0:00.0

You're listening to a podcast from the BBC World Service. This is Hard Talk with me, Zainab Bedawi.

0:06.0

Thanks for downloading this edition of the program and I hope you enjoy it.

0:10.2

Welcome to Hard Talk on the BBC World Service with me, Zainab Bedawi.

0:14.5

The COVID-19 crisis is not only a threat to people's health and well-being, it is already having severe financial consequences

0:22.6

which many fear will result in a crisis of the kind we saw more than a decade ago.

0:28.1

My guest is a professor on globalisation and development, who's also worked extensively advising

0:34.2

governments, including in his own native South Africa. He is Ian Golden.

0:39.7

And six years ago, he predicted that the next financial crash would be caused by a pandemic.

0:46.2

Will his prophecy come to pass that a public health emergency will lead to a global recession,

0:52.5

or can this be averted?

0:55.1

Ian Golden, welcome to Hard Talk.

0:57.2

It's a pleasure to be here.

0:58.0

So what made you predict six years ago that the next global financial crash would be caused by a pandemic?

1:05.0

It's almost inevitable that as we connect more, as more and more people live in big cities,

1:10.0

close to airports, which are not only

1:12.0

the super spreaders of the goods of globalization, but also the bads, that contagion would cascade

1:17.2

around the world. We've seen many pandemics in the past. They've always been the biggest

1:21.9

killers of humanity. And I believed that this continued to be a major threat that was being ignored.

1:27.6

And so I felt very strongly and still do that this is likely to be not only the biggest threat to our lives,

1:33.9

but also to our financial systems and economies.

1:37.7

You said that the coronavirus shows how globalization spreads contagion of all kinds.

1:44.1

So you're attributing it there to globalization, but I have to put it to you that during the... Spres contagion of all kinds.

...

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