How To Trade Volatile Markets with Dan Greenhaus

RiskReversal Pod

RiskReversal Media

Business News, News, Investing, Business

4.7 • 836 Ratings

🗓️ 27 March 2026

⏱️ 62 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Dan Nathan and Dan Greenhaus discuss heightened Middle East war risk and how it’s driving market moves, with the S&P 500 down near recent lows, yields near multi-month highs, the dollar firming, and crude in the mid-$90s, while stressing how difficult it is to “trade geopolitics.” Greenhaus argues markets may be underpricing escalation risk but notes the U.S. is less oil-intensive, so higher gasoline hurts sentiment more than GDP, with tax-bill refunds partly offsetting pump prices and a lasting geopolitical premium likely keeping oil above prior lows. They debate recession calls, citing payment networks’ commentary that consumer health remains solid, and discuss why headline inflation may rise while core inflation moves little, making Fed hikes unlikely as long-term inflation expectations stay anchored. They also address tight credit spreads, AI-driven capex concentration, tech valuation compression, layoffs, and private credit concerns, arguing losses are not yet systemic and gates are disclosed, while advising caution and sometimes doing nothing amid exogenous uncertainty. Show Notes Debt Service Payments Rising (The Daily Spark) Private credit is looking shakier (Axios) Checkout Rosenberg Research —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Transcript

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0:00.0	Balance your trading strategy by adding futures. CME group helps you manage risk and capture opportunities in all market environments.
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0:16.9	Just visit your online broker and get started.
0:19.7	Plug into valuable educational materials and trading tools and see what adding futures can do for you at cMEgroup.com slash on the tape.
0:31.3	IConnections is the largest membership only platform for the alternative investment industry.
0:35.4	Bringing together thousands of fund managers and allocators in one powerful hub.
0:38.6	IConnections reimagines how the industry connects through its digital offerings and
0:41.9	premier in-person events, empowering allocators and managers to meet, build relationships
0:45.9	and do business anytime, anywhere.
0:48.2	To explore more about IConnections, its events, and gain access to the members-only
0:51.6	platform, visit iConnections.io.
0:56.9	Welcome to the members-only platform, visit iConnections.io. Welcome to the Risk Reversal podcast.
0:59.2	I am Dan Nathan.
1:00.2	That is Dan Greenhouse.
1:01.6	I think we've done this again and again and again.
1:03.7	Only Dan's.
1:04.8	That's what we're doing.
1:05.7	So Dan is the chief strategist at Solis, alternative asset management, a multi-billion dollar hedge fund.
1:13.0	You guys trade all different sorts of products across the capital structure.
1:17.8	Dan, welcome back to the podcast.
1:19.4	Thank you, as always, for having me.
1:20.9	This is your eighth time in five years.
	...

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