How to flip a GOP stronghold: be a normal politician

The Conversation with Dasha Burns

POLITICO

News, Government, Politics

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🗓️ 11 November 2022

⏱️ 31 minutes

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Summary

Why were Democrats seemingly able to by and large defy history and avoid a catastrophic result in the midterms? Across the country, Democrats successfully defended seats that Republicans had confidently expected to pick up, while also adding wins in gubernatorial races in five swing states that flipped from Trump to Biden in 2020. There are many explanations: backlash to the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision, exhaustion with Donald Trump and some of the candidates that he backed, and a big turnout for Democrats among Gen Z and millennials. The coalition of voters that turned out to oppose Donald Trump in 2018 and 2020 remained largely intact in 2022. There were also a lot of races that turned on local issues where none of these common explanations seem to tell the full story. We’re all going to be unpacking the results for a while. So, we wanted to hear why these Democrats think they were able to defy history. On this week’s episode of Playbook Deep Dive, Ohioan and POLITICO Playbook co-author Rachael Bade talked to Greg Landsman, a Democrat who on Tuesday, ousted 13-term incumbent Republican Rep. Steve Chabot in Ohio’s 1st District. Ryan Lizza is a Playbook co-author for POLITICO.Greg Landsman is the representative-elect for Ohio's 1st Congressional district.Afra Abdullah is associate producer for POLITICO audio.Kara Tabor is a producer for POLITICO audio.Brook Hayes is senior editor for POLITICO audio.Adam Allington is senior producer for POLITICO audio.Jenny Ament is executive producer for POLITICO audio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	On Tuesday, Democrats made history.
0:03.8	It was the first thing President Biden mentioned during a Wednesday press conference with reporters.
0:08.9	We lost few receipts in the House's representatives than any Democratic President's first midterm
0:13.1	election in the last 40 years, and we had the best midterm for governors since 1986.
0:19.8	While Republicans are still on track to reclaim a majority, the size of their advantage will
0:25.4	be much smaller than the red wave many had expected.
0:31.6	Across the country, Democrats successfully defended seats that Republicans had confidently
0:36.2	expected to pick up, while also adding wins in gubernatorial races in five swing states
0:41.9	that flipped from Trump to Biden in 2020.
0:45.8	There are a lot of explanations for why the Democrats did better than expected.
0:49.9	A backlash to the Supreme Court's DOBS decision, exhaustion with Donald Trump and some
0:55.3	of the candidates that he championed.
0:57.7	Big turnout for Democrats among Gen Z and millennials.
1:01.6	In general, the coalition of voters that turned out to oppose Donald Trump in 2018 and 2020
1:09.2	remained intact in 2022.
1:13.0	There are also a lot of races that turned on local issues, where none of these common
1:17.3	explanations seem to tell the full story.
1:20.3	It was a strange election, and we're all going to be unpacking the results for a while.
1:25.6	So we wanted to get to know some of these Democrats, and hear why they think they were able
1:30.0	to defy history.
1:31.6	This week, someone who defeated a Republican who has served for 26 years.
1:39.2	I'm Ryan Liza, this is Playbook Deep Dive.
	...

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