4.5 • 30 Ratings
🗓️ 18 March 2025
⏱️ 29 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome to the Eurointelligence podcast. I'm Wolfgang Munchau and with me, I'm Zasanne Monsenk and Jack Smith. |
0:06.9 | Today we will talk about the deadbreak, the big event of the last few days, or the former deadbreak, as we shall say. |
0:13.6 | It's not been deleted yet. They still have to vote for it in the Bundestag. It's a big reform. The |
0:19.6 | debt break was created 16 years ago |
0:22.3 | to put an additional constraint on German fiscal policy. It was a vehicle to deliver austerity. |
0:30.6 | Germany for most years had zero deficits. It has by far the lowest rate of debt in GDP of all the big member states in Europe as a result of it. |
0:42.2 | But it became increasingly unsustainable. |
0:44.7 | Political majorities have now been found to undo it. |
0:48.8 | And we've been saying this for a long time. |
0:51.0 | We were strong opponents to the debt break. |
0:53.1 | I remember I wrote in |
0:54.4 | 2009 that it would be the end of the euro area. It was perhaps slightly exaggerated, but it |
0:58.8 | certainly gave rise to the euro crisis. It made it worse. And it required massive corrective action, |
1:04.4 | including an ECB. It was not a sustainable rule for the euro area. It was not a sustainable |
1:09.2 | rule for Germany. And now a two-thirds |
1:12.0 | majority in the outgoing German parliament has been found to modify this. What does it contain? |
1:17.8 | It's probably worse just looking at the agreement that the various German parties struck on Friday. |
1:24.6 | The two main planks of this reform is that all defence spending above 1% of GDP |
1:31.1 | will be exempted from the fiscal rules. The Greens wanted to raise that threshold to 1.5%, which is |
1:36.5 | approximately where they're at now. The idea is it makes no sense to law, it is just to give the government |
1:42.4 | space for more slush fund type spending. |
1:45.2 | The Greens did not prevail on this particular one, but they prevailed on the other thing. |
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