4.4 • 1.9K Ratings
🗓️ 19 August 2025
⏱️ 32 minutes
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0:00.0 | I'm Alison Beard. |
0:11.8 | And I'm Adi Ignatius, and this is the HPR Ideacast. |
0:24.3 | Adi, how good are you at predicting the future? |
0:26.7 | I am very bad at predicting the future. |
0:31.1 | In fact, you could use my predictions as a counterindicator of what actually is going to happen. |
0:33.4 | But why are you asking? |
0:39.2 | Well, predicting the future is something that every business leader tries to do as they're planning their long-term strategy, but it's obviously extremely difficult, particularly in the current |
0:44.8 | world, it seems like no matter how much data you gather or logical projections you make, |
0:50.4 | you really don't know what's next or what's going to happen. But our guest today has a framework |
0:55.9 | for helping us do a better job. Yeah, that sounds really valuable. I mean, we are living in a period |
1:01.5 | of hyper uncertainty that's absolutely true. And sometimes the response is just live with uncertainty, |
1:07.3 | but surely there's a better way to kind of tease out the weak signals or think about |
1:12.2 | your own goals and visions and be a little bit better at predicting what's next. Yeah, and so that's why |
1:18.1 | I wanted to talk to Nick Foster. He is a futurist who's worked as a designer at some of the world's |
1:23.1 | biggest tech focus companies, including Google X, Sony, and Dyson, and he's the author of the book |
1:28.1 | Could, Should, Might, Don't, How We Think About the Future. So he argues that most of us fall |
1:33.5 | into one of those four patterns. On the one side is could futurism, which is overly optimistic, |
1:39.7 | tech-centered utopia. And then on the opposite extreme is don't, where you're thinking about |
1:44.0 | all the negative externalities. And we're the opposite extreme is don't where you're thinking about all the |
1:45.2 | negative externalities. And we're seeing that play out in the debate over the future of AI right now. |
1:50.6 | So here's my conversation with Nick. |
2:00.2 | Nick, thanks so much for being with me today. |
... |
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