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The Story

How Putin might fall: A lesson from 1991

The Story

The Times

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3.91.6K Ratings

🗓️ 3 July 2023

⏱️ 29 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Vladimir Putin may have averted an armed rebellion by Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin – but if the fall of Mikhail Gorbachev in 1991 tells us anything, it's that even a failed coup can still spell ruin for a leader.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Last week, the armed rebellions sweeping towards Moscow ended as suddenly and unexpectedly

0:11.6

as it had begun.

0:13.9

Before escaping to Belarus, if any pregoation, the leader of the Wagner group tried to downplay

0:20.2

what had happened, describing the armed mutiny he'd been leading as more of a peaceful

0:27.2

protest.

0:28.5

He said the group's members had started what he called a march for justice.

0:33.7

We showed no aggression, he said, but added we were hit by missiles and helicopters.

0:39.3

He said his supporters turned around to avoid spilling Russian soldiers' blood.

0:47.1

But during the course of that Saturday, as a convoy of Wagner mercenaries moved towards

0:52.8

Moscow, taking down Russian helicopters along the way, all while the Russian

0:58.2

president Vladimir Putin was nowhere to be seen.

1:02.9

The situation felt very different.

1:06.2

In fact, for many, it was a reminder of another moment in Russian history.

1:12.2

Good morning, Mark the date will, August 19, 1991, historians are likely to be analyzing

1:19.6

the events of this day for generations to come.

1:23.4

Military leaders and the Soviet secret police have taken control of the government and

1:27.7

now Vice President Gennady Yanayev is sitting in the President's seat.

1:35.1

When the Russian president Mikhail Gorbachev was dethroned, it began with a coup that actually

1:42.0

failed, but the upheaval left him looking so weak that his authority leaked away.

1:50.5

Putin may be congratulating the country now on facing down the Wagner revolt and his government

1:56.7

is certainly pretending its business is usual.

1:59.8

But if history tells us anything, there's probably more to come.

...

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