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The Lawfare Podcast

How is the Iran Deal Really Going?

The Lawfare Podcast

The Lawfare Institute

International Law, Law, Government, Foreign Policy, News, Politics, Rule Of Law, International Relations, Current Events, Military, Constitutional Law, Intelligence, National Security, History, Terrorism, Diplomacy

4.76.4K Ratings

🗓️ 4 June 2016

⏱️ 87 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Iran deal adopted in July 2015 was an effort not only to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons but also to avert a nuclear arms competition in the Middle East. But uncertainties surrounding the future of the agreement, including the question of what Iran will do when key restrictions on its nuclear program expire after 15 years, could provide incentives for some of its neighbors to keep their nuclear options open. A Brookings panel--including Robert Einhorn, Richard Nephew, Suzanne Maloney, Amb. Youssef Al Otaiba of the UAE, and Derek Chollet of the German Marshall Fund--discuss a new report on the deal's implementation.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:07.2

podcast become a material supporter of LawFair at patreon.com slash LawFair.

0:14.7

That's patreon.com slash LawFair.

0:18.2

Also, check out LawFair's other podcast offerings, rational security, chatter, LawFair

0:25.6

no bull and the aftermath.

0:32.6

Iran to most of the countries in the region is a much broader threat beyond the nuclear

0:37.9

fund.

0:38.9

In fact, I think the nuclear file is probably the easiest part of the Iran threat to deal

0:42.9

with.

0:43.9

For the next 10 to 15 years, we have gotten ourselves a runway.

0:48.5

Safety zone to speak.

0:50.4

That has taken off one of the most important issues.

0:53.4

We believe that in the next 15 years, it is going to be virtually impossible for Iran

0:57.4

to get a nuclear weapon.

0:58.6

Now having said that, if we can now move to work effectively together as an international

1:03.7

community to address the other part of Iran's behavior, Iran's support for Isbullah, Hamas,

1:09.4

Shia militias in Iraq, Houthi rebels in Yemen, creating havoc in Saudi Arabia's eastern

1:13.8

province or Bahrain or Kuwait, then this deal will be judged as a good deal.

1:18.4

If, on the other hand, we now fear risking this deal by pushing hard on Iran and sort

1:24.5

of taking our foot off the gas and looking in the other direction, this deal will be largely

1:28.4

judged as a bad deal.

1:29.9

I'm Benjamin Wittis and this is the LawFair podcast June 4, 2016.

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