How A College Education Divides American Voters

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

Politics, News

4.6 • 20.6K Ratings

🗓️ 24 October 2022

⏱️ 59 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecast’s shift. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	Nate, what are you doing?
0:03.6	I'm making a sports bed.
0:05.6	Are you f***ing kidding me?
0:08.8	What are you betting on?
0:16.2	What are you betting on?
0:18.2	I bet on the Memphis Grizzlies against the Brooklyn Nets.
0:21.0	Which what bet did you make?
0:23.0	Not saying.
0:33.6	Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast.
0:37.0	I'm Galen Dwork.
0:38.5	There are just two weeks until Election Day and according to our forecast, the race for
0:43.6	the Senate is a dead heat.
0:46.0	Democrats have a 55% chance of winning the chamber to Republicans 45% chance.
0:52.7	Republicans have an 81% chance of winning the House.
0:56.3	We've also seen some movement in key governors races.
0:59.6	The race in Wisconsin has moved from lean Democratic to a toss-up and the races in Michigan and
1:04.4	Pennsylvania have moved from solid Democratic to likely Democratic.
1:09.0	Today we're going to ask whether it's a good or bad use of data to suggest that some
1:14.2	of the recent shift in voters preferences has to do with increased ad spending amongst
1:19.6	Republican candidates.
1:21.4	That may assume that political ads work in the first place.
1:24.2	But do they?
	...

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