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The Dividend Cafe

Housing: Culture and Economics Together

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Dividend Growth Investing, Wealth Management, Macro Economics, Monetary Policy, Business, Retirement Planning, Investing, Estate Planning

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 16 June 2023

⏱️ 19 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4301I8h

We have had a lot to say about housing here in the Dividend Cafe over the years, most recently here with a broad update of projections for supply, demand, and pricing, and more philosophically, last year’s bulletin here that aimed to provide a bigger picture perspective on how to think about it all. I was and am proud of both issues of the Dividend Cafe and the message embedded therein. Housing is a big part of the U.S. economy, where we live is a big part of our lives, and what it costs us is a big part of our monthly pocketbook.

Yet today’s Dividend Cafe is a little different. Not only am I not offering a forecast today as to whether or not median home prices will drop -9% from here or go up +5% or some other irrelevant nonsense, I also am not speaking to some macroeconomic ramifications of housing the way many pundits do (this many construction jobs will be added or lost, or this increase or decrease will take place in spending at the Home Depots and Lowes of our economy, blah blah blah). I do happen to think most of those discussion items are silly, misguided, and misunderstood, but that is not why I am ignoring them today. Besides them being bad questions, and impossible to answer, I also have a different focus that is more important to our lives and well-being.

Today I want to dig into the single biggest reality of housing that no one seems interested in talking about – and that is the cultural implications of how we have re-framed our view of residential real estate over the years. Some may prefer a discussion to the latest projections around the rocket science that is “home flipping,” but I believe our angle today is the lowest hanging fruit of how we ought to think about this subject. Let’s jump into the Dividend Cafe …

Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividend Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:10.0

Well, hello and welcome to another dividend cafe. Yes, another location for filming. I'm actually out at my desert house this weekend and getting ready

0:23.7

to travel after father's day to a conference in michigan that i speak at every year so i'll be

0:30.6

out there next week and then in new york for a bit but in the meantime have prepared a dividend

0:37.1

cafe today that I am quite excited

0:40.2

about. And once again, actually do believe it's a little different than what we often do. Much like

0:45.7

last week's, that was a letter to a high school graduate. I want to thank everyone, by the way,

0:50.0

for what was really overwhelmingly nice feedback.

1:01.7

And I do hope that the entire message was received and taken in the way I intended.

1:04.5

I hope it was useful, impactful.

1:08.7

But it was certainly a kind of outside the normal vein dividend cafe.

1:15.4

And today's is a little bit of the same in that I don't think there's a lot of dividend cafes I've written over the years that are as directly and consciously meant to juxtapose a sort

1:22.4

of cultural message with an economic one.

1:24.7

Now, as a guy who holds to what I call a highly anthropological view of

1:31.3

economics, what that means is that what I believe about the human person, about human nature,

1:36.9

about social, human interaction is sort of the core of what I believe about all economics,

1:42.9

and that permeates all we've ever done

1:45.6

at the Bonson Group financially and in terms of macroeconomic outlook, investment particulars,

1:52.6

asset allocation, application, all of that type of stuff has been rooted in a certain

1:59.2

philosophically coherent view of economics that does seek to bring the human

2:05.7

person to the core of what we're doing.

2:09.6

And when you talk about the subject to housing, I'm really trying to do the same thing.

...

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