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Coffee House Shots

Have the Tories given up on the Red Wall?

Coffee House Shots

The Spectator

News, Politics, Government, Daily News

4.4 β€’ 2.1K Ratings

πŸ—“οΈ 19 June 2024

⏱️ 13 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Yet another three MRP polls landed today – and none of them look pretty for the Conservative party. This comes as Boris Johnson rules out helping on the campaign trail as reports say that the party has given up on the Red Wall. On the episode, James Heale talks to Katy Balls and conservative commentator Paul Goodman about why the Tories will continue to struggle to close the poll gap given the roles played by the Liberal Democrats and Reform.

Produced by Cindy Yu.

Transcript

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0:00.0

The stage is set.

0:01.6

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0:03.7

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0:07.2

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0:09.2

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0:11.2

forward slash mug.

0:12.6

Hello and welcome to Coffey House Shots.

0:17.2

I'm joined today while the Spectators political editor Katie balls and Paul Goodman

0:21.1

the former editor of Conservative Home.

0:23.0

Now, Katie, we've had three big MRP polls out today.

0:26.0

They range from the Tories on 155 seats, according to Morning Common,

0:29.8

U-Guff giving the Tories 108 seats, and Savannah giving the tour he's just 53 seats

0:33.7

none of these are particularly good scenarios does what you make of the you go for one a little

0:39.2

bit of an understatement they're not particularly good I mean they're all pretty

0:42.1

devastating I think in a way

0:44.3

though we've just got quite used to this now which is polls suggesting the Tories

0:48.0

are heading to a historically bad defeat and a worse result than 1997 a larger labor majority.

0:55.0

I think people tend to focus a lot on you, Gov, just because they were quite accurate

0:59.0

the last time round that other pollsters also had wins and so forth, But I think if you look at that poll, it's interesting

1:07.2

that you have a situation whereby labour run 39%, the Tories are on 22% and reforms on 15%.

1:15.0

Now, of course this is blunt, but if you added up

1:17.5

reform and conservative, there'd only be two points

...

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