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Coffee House Shots

Has the Bank of England done enough to stave off recession?

Coffee House Shots

The Spectator

News, Daily News, Politics

4.42.2K Ratings

🗓️ 2 November 2023

⏱️ 14 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Bank of England has once again taken the decision to hold interest rates at their 15-year high. There is growing market consensus that this second pause is a sign that interest rates have peaked, or nearly reached their peak. Will the Bank be able to tread the thin line between tackling inflation but also keeping the country out of recession? Will Rishi Sunak hit his target to 'halve inflation'? 

Natasha Feroze speaks to Kate Andrews and Isabel Hardman. 

Produced by Natasha Feroze and Oscar Edmondson. 

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Transcript

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0:00.0

This podcast is sponsored by Canacord Genuity Wealth Management,

0:04.3

award-winning wealth managers who go above and beyond to support and guide you.

0:09.1

Visit candewelth.com to start building your wealth with confidence.

0:17.9

Hello and welcome to Coffee House Shots, the spectators' daily politics podcast.

0:22.4

I'm Natasha Faroez and I'm joined by Kate Andrews and Isabelle Hardman.

0:26.8

The Bank of England today have opted to keep interest rates at their 15-year high.

0:32.4

Kate, is this a sign that they've hit their peak?

0:35.2

Something that there are some signs that interest rates have peaked now.

0:40.0

The fact that the Monetary Policy Committee voted six to three to hold rates at 5.25%

0:45.6

was not as tight as that first-fit to hold rates, which was five to four.

0:50.2

Capital economics thinks it's all but certain that interest rates have peaked now.

0:53.7

Market expectation is about that they've peaked but the Bank of England is very clear in its

0:59.6

report this morning that there are plenty of factors that could lead to changes and they're

1:04.8

not going to try to predict them and that the potential for the inflation rate to go back up

1:09.6

because of conflict in the Middle East, for example, is something that's cited.

1:13.4

And what they're really clear about is that we shouldn't expect to see an interest rate cut

1:17.1

anytime soon. The good news for the government is that they're most up to date for

1:21.8

costs such as that Rashisi Neck is going to meet that pledge to have inflation by the end of the

1:25.8

year. The bank thinks in Q4 the rate will fall to just below 5%, which will just be meeting Rashisi

1:31.6

Neck's target. The really grim news out of the report this morning is what they think

1:36.2

was going to happen with growth across the UK. So they've revised their projections down for 2023.

1:42.2

They think there's going to be no growth next year. Look, a lot of these deem's-day predictions

...

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