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Hello and welcome to Coffey House Shocks, the Spectators Daily Politics

Podcast. I'm Katie Balls and I'm joined by Fraser Nelson and James Heel. Is Reform in Trouble?

That's the question today, after a Reform candidate has defected to the Tories, comes

as another Reform candidate was found to have said Nicholas Sturgeon should be shot.

Praise, I suppose just to start with you, if we go back, I think to mid-June around the time of the D-Day debacle for Rishi Sunak,

soon after the return of Niger Farage,

it felt as the reform would overtake the Tories

in the polls, and they didn't a couple,

but would potentially then build from there. But over the past week it feels as though

they're actually plateauing and going backwards. That's right. The post-Fereg surge took reform from

about 12 points in the polls to about 17 or 18.

Now given that the Tories are on 20 that's very very close and as you say some polls do show them

overlapping but recently perhaps I'm not quite sure whether this was related or not, but ever since

Lange of Raja-Vrage claimed that Putin was provoked by the West into invading Ukraine,

it seems that there has been a certain plaiting of their support.

Now what we're guests seeing here, it reminds me of the Klegmania during the 2010 campaign

...