Has Polling Broken Politics?
Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
New York Times Opinion
4.0 • 7.2K Ratings
🗓️ 19 October 2022
⏱️ 30 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | It's the argument I'm Jane Kostin. |
| 0:08.5 | We're in the final countdown to the midterm elections. |
| 0:11.7 | And as usual, there are a lot of polls flying around about who's up, who's down, and what |
| 0:17.4 | that means for the House and the Senate, for democracy, for you. |
| 0:22.3 | But after the disaster of the 2016 poll predictions and 2020 feeling off base too, I've got a lot |
| 0:28.7 | of questions about what we're getting wrong in A, how we conduct polls and treat poll |
| 0:33.7 | results. |
| 0:35.0 | And B, whether our increased interest in polling is a good thing for our politics, or really, |
| 0:40.8 | for us. |
| 0:42.8 | Anyone who knows me knows I hate the horse race polls leading up to any election that |
| 0:46.6 | treat major elections like fun sporting events with zero consequences. |
| 0:50.5 | I used to report on sports. |
| 0:52.9 | I love sports. |
| 0:53.9 | But politics are not sports. |
| 0:56.4 | Sports are entertainment. |
| 0:57.8 | Sports are fun. |
| 0:58.8 | They don't determine if you can live in a certain neighborhood, get to work on time or |
| 1:02.6 | get work period, or afford to feed your family. |
| 1:06.6 | Politics do. |
| 1:08.1 | But clearly there's an appetite for predictive polling. |
| 1:10.9 | So who better to confront with my problems as polling than two people who deal with polls |
| 1:15.2 | every day. |
... |
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