Hello and welcome to The Spectator's Americano podcast, a special series of discussions about the biggest political event of this year, the 2016 US presidential election. My name's Freddie Gray and I'm Deputy Edger of The Spectator. And today we're going to be discussing Hillary Clinton's emails and whether the latest twist in the scandal will affect her performance in the election next week.

Joining me is Marcus Roberts, who is International Projects Director at YouGov.

Marcus, over the weekend, there's been a lot of media hoo-ha about the latest twist in Hillary's email scandal.

Will it actually make any difference in the polls,

or is it making any difference in the polls that we can notice? Media hoo-ha is exactly what this is,

and no, it is not making a difference in the polls. So a few hours ago, we published the results

of our latest U-Gov battleground state survey.

And we asked, to what extent, is the email controversy affecting your vote decision-making?

71% of battleground state voters said that it will not change their thinking with regard to their vote.

When we look at the latest UGov round of battleground states polling on a state-by-state basis,

we see Hillary up by eight points in Pennsylvania, Mr. Trump behind by three points in Colorado,

also behind by three points in North Carolina.

He is ahead by two points in Arizona.

But as we said the other day in our last podcast, the very fact that we're talking about

Arizona as a battleground state is a problem for Donald Trump's campaign.

So the simple answer is this is more media hoo-ha than anything that's actually affecting voters

in the polls.

Is it fair to say, though, that the polls were tightening before this story broke over the

weekend?

Yes, it is.

And the polls were always going to tighten at this point because of Republican enthusiasm numbers. What that

means is the extent to which base Republican voters were always going to end up voting for

...