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Exchanges

Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 3: Assets and Allocation

Exchanges

Goldman Sachs

Business

4.31.1K Ratings

🗓️ 20 January 2026

⏱️ 26 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In the third and final episode of the Goldman Sachs Exchanges Outlook 2026 series, Goldman Sachs Research’s Peter Oppenheimer, Kamakshya Trivedi, Daan Struyven, and Christian Mueller-Glissmann share the trends shaping assets and portfolio allocation in 2026. Learn more about Goldman Sachs’ outlooks for the year ahead: https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks This episode was recorded on January 7th and 8th, 2026. The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. This material may contain forward-looking statements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs. A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs. Disclosures applicable to research with respect to issuers, if any, mentioned herein are available through your Goldman Sachs representative or at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. © 2026 Goldman Sachs. All rights reserved. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm Allison Nathan and this is Goldman Sachs Exchanges.

0:09.0

This is part three of Outlook, 26, our special three-part series examining the trends that

0:15.0

will define the global economy in the coming year.

0:18.2

In part one, we got an overview of the global growth picture, and in part two, we took a closer look at the economic outlook for the U.S., Asia, and Europe.

0:26.6

Today we have a tour around the capital markets as we look at global equities,

0:30.6

currencies, interest rates, commodities, and the implications for portfolio strategy.

0:38.8

Let's start with Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman's chief global equity strategist.

0:42.4

Peter, welcome back to exchanges.

0:44.0

Thank you so much.

0:45.1

So, Peter, in this series, we have heard from our economists about a pretty positive outlook

0:50.3

for the global economy again in 2006.

0:53.2

What could that mean for the global equity markets?

0:56.0

Well, I think, Alison, the first thing to say is that in an environment where you're getting an

1:00.3

extended economic growth cycle, as we're expecting, and alongside that, inflation is moderating,

1:06.6

allowing interest rates to come down, at least in the US, with some dollar weakness, that set

1:12.0

up would generally be pretty good for risk assets like equities. Now, obviously, other things

1:17.8

come into play. Valuations are quite high, given that equities have performed well in recent years,

1:24.5

but overall, we're expecting it to be a good year and a year for equities that's

1:29.4

generally driven by underlying profit growth rather than continued valuation expansion.

1:35.2

And if you look at your broader work, Peter, you know, you often talk about the four parts

1:39.1

of the equity cycle. So despair, hope, growth, and optimism. We are clearly in the optimism part of the cycle at this

1:47.2

point. But is the next step not despair? Are you concerned about the risks around the positive view?

...

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