Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 3: Assets and Allocation
Exchanges
Goldman Sachs
4.3 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 20 January 2026
⏱️ 26 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | I'm Allison Nathan and this is Goldman Sachs Exchanges. |
| 0:09.0 | This is part three of Outlook, 26, our special three-part series examining the trends that |
| 0:15.0 | will define the global economy in the coming year. |
| 0:18.2 | In part one, we got an overview of the global growth picture, and in part two, we took a closer look at the economic outlook for the U.S., Asia, and Europe. |
| 0:26.6 | Today we have a tour around the capital markets as we look at global equities, |
| 0:30.6 | currencies, interest rates, commodities, and the implications for portfolio strategy. |
| 0:38.8 | Let's start with Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman's chief global equity strategist. |
| 0:42.4 | Peter, welcome back to exchanges. |
| 0:44.0 | Thank you so much. |
| 0:45.1 | So, Peter, in this series, we have heard from our economists about a pretty positive outlook |
| 0:50.3 | for the global economy again in 2006. |
| 0:53.2 | What could that mean for the global equity markets? |
| 0:56.0 | Well, I think, Alison, the first thing to say is that in an environment where you're getting an |
| 1:00.3 | extended economic growth cycle, as we're expecting, and alongside that, inflation is moderating, |
| 1:06.6 | allowing interest rates to come down, at least in the US, with some dollar weakness, that set |
| 1:12.0 | up would generally be pretty good for risk assets like equities. Now, obviously, other things |
| 1:17.8 | come into play. Valuations are quite high, given that equities have performed well in recent years, |
| 1:24.5 | but overall, we're expecting it to be a good year and a year for equities that's |
| 1:29.4 | generally driven by underlying profit growth rather than continued valuation expansion. |
| 1:35.2 | And if you look at your broader work, Peter, you know, you often talk about the four parts |
| 1:39.1 | of the equity cycle. So despair, hope, growth, and optimism. We are clearly in the optimism part of the cycle at this |
| 1:47.2 | point. But is the next step not despair? Are you concerned about the risks around the positive view? |
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