GM98: Powerlessness Is Rising and Nobody Is Ready ft. Peter Atwater
Top Traders Unplugged
Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
4.8 • 712 Ratings
🗓️ 1 April 2026
⏱️ 73 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
What happens when confidence fades and power becomes concentrated in fewer hands? Together with Peter Atwater we explore a world dividing along lines of control and vulnerability. From geopolitical conflict and energy dominance to rising inequality and generational pressure, they describe a system under strain. The discussion connects investor behavior, policymaking, and social dynamics through a single lens: confidence. As those at the top grow more assertive and those at the bottom feel increasingly powerless, tensions build in ways that history suggests rarely resolve smoothly. This is an important and timely conversation about imbalance, reaction, and what may come next.
-----
50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Peter on X.
Episode TimeStamps:
01:13 - Introduction and framing the confidence discussion
02:53 - The K shaped world and rising vulnerability
04:43 - Behavior at the top vs nihilism at the bottom
06:48 - Confidence and policymaker decision making
09:27 - From hubris to desperation in global systems
12:23 - Iran, energy, and geopolitical motives
17:05 - Leadership confidence and timing of conflict
19:09 - Affordability crisis and consumer pressure
22:43 - War priorities vs economic priorities
25:53 - Control, drafts, and growing tension
29:11 - Authoritarian drift and system constraints
33:51 - Speed of crises in a connected world
39:22 - Overconfidence and blindness to risk
48:15 - Powerlessness as the trigger for change
Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
----
PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | Their want for control, their demand for control, runs counter to the control the powerless |
| 0:09.9 | are desperate to maintain. And so I don't see us getting through this without moments of intense tension between the |
| 0:24.1 | powerlessness of those at the bottom in conflict with the demand for greater |
| 0:30.6 | and greater control among those at the top be they governments corporations |
| 0:36.4 | technozars you you there's a large group. |
| 0:42.3 | Welcome to Top Traders Unplugged. In markets, success doesn't come from predicting what happens next. |
| 0:49.2 | It comes from being prepared for what you can't predict. In each episode, we go deep with some of the world's most thoughtful minds in investing, |
| 0:57.8 | economics, and beyond to understand how they think, how they prepare, and how they decide, |
| 1:03.5 | and the experiences that shaped how they see the world. |
| 1:06.9 | No noise, no shortcuts, just real conversations to help you think better and invest with confidence. |
| 1:15.8 | Peter Atwater, welcome back to the podcast. |
| 1:18.7 | And thank you so much for joining Gem and I today for what I'm sure will be a super interesting |
| 1:22.9 | continuation of our previous episodes with you. |
| 1:26.6 | I can't believe it's been more than two years |
| 1:28.4 | since we last had you on, and so we're really excited to be speaking with you today. How are you doing? |
| 1:34.0 | Have you been? I'm doing great. Thanks so much for having me back and the chance to talk to |
| 1:40.4 | the two of you again. Absolutely. And how are you doing, Jim? It's been a little while. |
| 1:44.4 | I know you've been traveling. Yeah, I just got that. Pleasure. |
| 1:49.5 | Pleasure. I, uh, everybody's getting my very white voice, I said to you earlier. But, but, |
| 1:55.4 | but yeah, I, uh, I just got back from Brazil. And, uh haven't gone, got to get out there. |
| 2:01.8 | I was in the middle of the Amazon for five, six days. |
| 2:05.3 | Incredible experience. |
... |
Please login to see the full transcript.
Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Niels Kaastrup-Larsen, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.
Generated transcripts are the property of Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.
Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.

