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Wall Street Breakfast

GDP blows past forecasts

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, Investing, Business, News

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 27 July 2023

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch. Our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis.

0:09.0

Good afternoon. Today is Thursday, Julyth and I'm your host Kim Khan. Our top story in today's session.

0:18.0

GDP blew away forecasts for slowing growth in the second quarter. It rose in an annual rate of 2.4 percent,

0:24.8

well ahead of forecasts for 1.5 percent and up from 2 percent in Q1. Growth was

0:30.3

driven by consumer spending, non-residential fixed investment, state and local government

0:35.1

spending, private inventory investment, and federal government spending.

0:39.8

Drags were decreases in exports and residential fixed investment.

0:44.0

Along with that, there are further signs of disinflation.

0:47.0

The PCE price index was up 2.6%, down from 4.1% in Q1.

0:52.0

The core PE price index, excluding food and energy, was up 3.8% versus 4% consensus.

1:00.0

Panthian macro sees softer consumption in Koo 3 and especially Q4 when student loan repayments start again, but for now growth is holding up.

1:09.0

Wells Fargo says the U.S. economy is weathering the fastest hikes in a generation without much damage to the major gearworks of the economy.

1:16.0

I.N.G. says Goldilocks GDP numbers like this fuel the soft landing narrative, but warns that tighter monetary policy,

1:24.0

plus tighter lending conditions, will increasingly restrain economic activity

1:28.0

and growth will slow and possibly contract from the fourth quarter.

1:31.0

GDP was the headliner in a big lineup of strong data that included better than expected

1:36.0

durable goods orders and jobless claims falling unexpectedly.

1:40.2

Taken altogether, Wells Fargo says the path to avoiding recession looks clearer today

1:44.2

that it did even a few weeks ago.

1:46.8

Now look at today's trading, stocks are rallying with growth the clear leader after failing

1:51.2

to react much to the Fed's hike on Wednesday. The NASDAQ is up 1.75%

1:56.7

thanks to a post-earning surge in meta platforms. The S&P is up 0.75% with the Communication Services sector jumping more than 3% with the Meta Assist.

...

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