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The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett

Financial Crash Expert: In 3 months We’ll Enter A Famine! If Iran Doesn’t Surrender It's The End!

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett

FlightStory

Education, Society & Culture, Business

4.517.8K Ratings

🗓️ 6 April 2026

⏱️ 94 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

He predicted the 2008 crash, now Professor Steve Keen warns the Iran war is coming for your food prices. Professor Steve Keen is the world's first rebel economist to predict the 2008 financial crisis years before it happened, based on his proprietary data software, Ravel©. He has spent over 30 years as an academic, and is currently a visiting scholar at the University of Amsterdam. He explains:  ◼ Why your food prices could double and the one resource nobody is talking about ◼ The 5 ways this war could end and which scenario keeps you safest ◼ How one 20km gap controls your phone, your heating, and your food ◼ Why nobody around Trump will tell him he's losing and what that means for you ◼ How AI could wipe out half of all jobs and what you should do right now Chapters 00:00:00 Intro 00:02:15 Who Is Professor Steven—And Why His Perspective Matters Now 00:02:41 What’s Really Driving Tensions Between The US, Israel, And Iran 00:07:26 Why Israel Might See Iran As An Existential Threat 00:12:26 The Strait Of Hormuz—And What Happens If It Closes 00:16:20 Where Fertilizer Comes From—And What A Shortage Would Trigger 00:18:07 Why Oil Still Controls Everything—And The Cost Of Running Out 00:21:09 What Happens If This War Doesn’t End Quickly 00:21:53 The Real Cause Behind The Global Cost Of Living Crisis 00:25:18 Do Wars Widen The Gap Between Rich And Poor 00:29:38 Five Scenarios That Could Shape What Happens Next 00:29:50 Scenario 1: What Happens If Iran Is Destroyed 00:33:01 Scenario 2: The Fallout If Gulf Infrastructure Collapses 00:37:31 Scenario 3: The Samson Doctrine—And When It’s Used 00:44:33 Scenario 4: Could Iran Neutralize Israel’s Nukes 00:51:21 What Trump Really Wants—And The Fear Behind It 00:53:12 Will The US Put Troops On The Ground 00:56:11 What The Best-Case Scenario Actually Looks Like 00:59:03 Scenario 5: What Changes If Iran Goes Nuclear 01:00:40 Why Self-Sufficiency Might Be The Only Safety Net 01:03:39 What Could Trigger The Next Financial Crash 01:07:57 How To Survive Another Boom-And-Bust Cycle 01:09:25 Universal Basic Income 01:12:25 How AI Is Quietly Rewriting The Job Market 01:21:26 Is Bitcoin Headed To Zero 01:26:15 What Kind Of Leaders Do We Actually Need 01:28:14 What A Better System Could Look Like 01:30:17 What’s Broken In Capitalism—And Can It Be Fixed 01:31:17 Final Thoughts—And The Surprise You Didn’t Expect Enjoyed the episode? Share this link and earn points for every referral - redeem them for exclusive prizes: https://doac-perks.com  You can follow Steve, here: YouTube - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/C8KEcSZ  X - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/5wY8sFQ  You can purchase Steve's book, 'The New Economics: A Manifesto', here: https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/9H2fggV  You can find out more about Steve’s ‘Rebel Economist Challenge’, here: https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/GK6TEF1  The Diary Of A CEO: ◼ Join DOAC circle here - https://doaccircle.com/  ◼ Buy The Diary Of A CEO book here - https://smarturl.it/DOACbook  ◼ The 1% Diary is back - limited time only: https://bit.ly/3YFbJbt  ◼ The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards (Second Edition): https://g2ul0.app.link/f31dsUttKKb  ◼ Get email updates - https://bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt  ◼ Follow Steven - https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb  Sponsors: Wispr - Get 14 days of Wispr Flow for free at https://wisprflow.ai/steven   Stan - Visit https://coach.stan.store/?ref=stevenbartlett&utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=episode4 Wispr - Get 14 days of Wispr Flow for free at https://wisprflow.ai/steven Function Health - https://Functionhealth.com/DOAC to sign up for $365 a year. One dollar a day for your health

Transcript

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0:00.0

So there are five scenarios in which the war could end because Trump is stupid enough to take on what Israel wanted to do, which was destroy Iran, but they've bitten off far more than they can chew.

0:10.2

So scenario one is Iran destroys the Gulf power infrastructure. I think that's highly likely. And if that happens, then Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Dubai, they all become uninhabitable.

0:19.8

And then scenario two, Iran disables Israel's nukes. I hope that happens, but there's this one. And it scares the shit out of me. Professor Steve, I have so many questions. What is going on? So this war is threatening everybody on the planet. And what Trump is doing at the moment is a pump and dump scheme. He's trying to drive up the oil price and exploiting it for his friends and for his own wealth in the process.

0:40.1

So people are focusing upon the price of this. But the really important point is this, the Strait of Humols, so oil, fertiliser, helium, all have to pass through the Strait of Hummus. And Iran have blocked that gap. So they can say, you do or do not pass, depending on your country's attitude towards our country.

0:56.5

And it's quite terrifying because 20 to 30% of our fertilizer comes through this point.

1:00.8

But if this is not available, the globe has a famine.

1:03.2

Do you think he will send ground troops in?

1:04.7

Yes, I do.

1:05.6

But I'd hate to be one of those troops because it's a suicide mission.

1:08.5

They've got underground military units of weapons and troops, but we have no idea of the scale. Trump keeps saying that the war has been won. Yeah. What's going on there in your view? I think he's been fed propaganda to tell him that he's winning the war by his immediate advisors because you cannot tell the person like that that they've made a mistake. We'll talk about that as well, but you've developed a bit of a reputation because you're very

1:28.3

good at predicting things. So which of these five outcomes do you think is most probable to happen?

1:34.3

Oh, God.

1:37.0

Guys, I've got a favour to ask before this episode begins. The algorithm, if you follow a show,

1:41.8

will deliver you the best episodes from that show very prominently in your feed. So when we have our best episodes on this show, the most shared episodes, the most rated episodes, I would love you to know. And the simple way for you to know that is to hit that follow button. But also, it's the simple, easy, free thing that you can do to help us make the show better. And I would be hugely grateful if you could take a minute on the app you're listening to this on right now and hit that follow

2:03.9

button. Thank you so, so, so much. Professor Stephen, who are you?

2:17.7

If you had to sort of distill it down to three areas of specialism, what would those be?

2:22.3

History of economic thought, financial instability, so what causes volatility in the economy,

2:29.3

and the dynamics of money.

2:32.3

And ironically, that makes me a minority in economics because most economists

2:37.0

ignore money completely. It's a strange thing to you. It's ridiculous, but it's true.

2:41.6

We'll talk about that as well today. I really want to focus on what's going on in the world right now

2:45.4

because I have so many questions. It's all quite confusing. Extremely. And understanding the layers of

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