Final election predictions, with Dr. Larry Sabato and his Crystal Ball
Capehart
The Washington Post
4.6 • 1.4K Ratings
🗓️ 8 November 2016
⏱️ 24 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Hey everyone this is Jonathan Kapart. Welcome to K-Up a special edition of K-Up as it's |
| 0:10.1 | Election Day and I want you to have something to occupy your time and mind while we wait |
| 0:15.2 | for the returns to start coming in. So who better to talk to than the man behind the |
| 0:19.7 | crystal ball, Dr. Larry Sabadot, director of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics. |
| 0:25.0 | I'm convinced that the Latino vote is going to rescue Hillary Clinton if she needs rescuing in some of the states. |
| 0:33.0 | Break out the not pads because he's going to break it all down right now. |
| 0:37.0 | Dr. Sabadod, thank you very much for being on Cape up today. |
| 0:47.0 | I'm happy to do it. |
| 0:49.0 | So tell me about your crystal ball and how it knows what it knows. |
| 0:53.4 | Well, keep in mind, our motto is, |
| 0:56.0 | he who lives by the crystal ball is, |
| 0:57.8 | beating ground glass. |
| 0:59.2 | And we've certainly had meals of it over the years although I found if you put |
| 1:04.0 | some Tabasco sauce on it's okay |
| 1:06.8 | uh... but uh... essentially we gather as much data as we possibly can not just |
| 1:12.2 | polling information but obviously from political science. We use models. |
| 1:16.0 | And we also use old-fashioned methods that are still revealing. We stay in touch with hundreds of good sources that we've developed |
| 1:27.0 | over many, many years time. A great example of this, you saw that series of polls, least two major ones there may have been others |
| 1:35.0 | strongly suggesting that Trump is winning Nevada. |
| 1:38.0 | Well, John Ralston, who's the number one expert in that state's politics, has been following the |
| 1:45.1 | minute changes in the early voting. |
| 1:47.9 | And he knew instantly those polls were wrong, and every day, every few hours hours he's been proving it and that's why I say it's wrong |
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