the TBL on day four today Mike Pasca reports from the Super Bowl you used to host a show about gambling

and you love statistics and probabilities so I would ask you this what do you think the odds are

that this TBLathon that this fundraiser will actually work out for us right well I'm like a lot

of sports where working out is defined in one or a loss there is a you know quasi flexible

definition of working out so maybe we should do a parlay it working out to your heart's desire

parlayed with what you say in terms of working out and you got to convince yourself that it does

well but I think let's say I checked I remember that a year ago you went to a buffet and got food

poisoning so I'm going to count that as own one against the spread and I'm going to say that

you are you trafficking a lot of well well observed nuances of life that is your uvra so your

uvra under is about six I'm gonna say it has a 71% chance of working 71% chance that's a parlayed

with the 99% chance of you saying it's gonna work so oh I see so that would that does that bring

it up to the 80s or both of those things have to happen if the parlay means I'm getting both things

four to one odds on the part or 3.1 to one odds on the parlay and that's what I would bet

so you would you would bet the parlay on tbtl being successful yes I think there's almost no

chance that it does work and but that you claim it doesn't work although you might just to earn

more sympathy and get more money I've been going back and forth actually on that very thing this

week because we we had a couple of of sort of banner days and then we had a couple of days that

have been you know maybe a little more flat and I don't I don't exactly know the psychology of

doing this yet if I'm supposed to be keeping a stiff upper lip the whole time or if if I'm overly

optimistic if people are gonna think oh yeah that the you know the the pressures off but on the

other hand I don't want to seem pathetic and and be constantly the whole desperate like you know

please people you got to give and you wind up like the guy from network that that's a real turnoff

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