Excerpt - James Meadway on the Green's historic byelection victory
Politics Theory Other
Politics Theory Other
4.8 • 552 Ratings
🗓️ 28 February 2026
⏱️ 2 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | I suppose a really quite terrifying thing from the perspective of the Labour Party is that, |
| 0:04.4 | you know, if you think about that 26% of the vote that they still achieve, |
| 0:08.0 | that a significant part of that will be people who did believe they were voting for the party |
| 0:12.3 | best place to beat reform. They did accept that line, you know, the old line that, you know, |
| 0:16.1 | a green vote is a wasted vote. Now that the Greens have demonstrated that they are best |
| 0:20.6 | place to do this, |
| 0:21.4 | really does seem to show that there's a real existential threat to Labour now. |
| 0:25.6 | And that's something that's the first past the post exaggerates, right? |
| 0:29.1 | A system that produces a great deal of stability when there are really two main parties, |
| 0:33.8 | which has been decaying for a while. |
| 0:35.5 | I mean, you know, this isn't the 1950s where like 95% of votes go to either Tory or Labour. I mean, that has been dropping off for decades now, but it's reached a point of sort of existential crisis when you have on the polling, what, four or five parties all vying around 20% of the vote. It's not a system. The first-passed post-voting system is not something that can sustain that that for very long. Like you just produce a high degree of sort of erratic politics. Now, it |
| 0:59.0 | stabilises really towards one or other large voting blocks. And if the Greens come out on top |
| 1:04.0 | of the voting block there is now in people's heads, there is the Greens who block reform. |
| 1:08.0 | Then this is catastrophic for Labour, because suddenly First Past the Post will overward the Greens in particular places. You'll be looking at a really big lurch in their direction. And people aren't stupid. People can see that this is how the system works, and they'll vote on that basis. It's extremely hard, probably until they get rid of Kyr-Starmer for Labour to be able to claim that they're the people who are going to stop reform. |
| 1:28.2 | Because everybody will just go, well, you're obviously not, and Stama's still there, and everybody hates him. |
| 1:32.1 | And this isn't going to work. |
| 1:33.4 | You know, it's the Greens that we're going to look to now. |
| 1:41.3 | If you'd like to hear the rest of this episode of PTO Extra, then please consider becoming a £5 |
| 1:46.5 | pound supporter of this show on Patreon. |
| 1:49.2 | Go to patreon.com forward slash poll theory other to sign up. |
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