Excerpt - France's social explosion w/ Sebastian Budgen
Politics Theory Other
Politics Theory Other
4.8 • 552 Ratings
🗓️ 31 March 2023
⏱️ 5 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Why then do you think that Macron and the government being quite so intransigent, given the |
| 0:04.4 | massive scale of opposition to the bill? Some people have focused on the personality of Macron, |
| 0:09.0 | his sort of authoritarian tendencies, and perhaps a desire to achieve a victory akin to Margaret |
| 0:14.4 | Thatcher's over the National Union of Miners during the 1980s in Britain. It would then set the stage |
| 0:19.6 | for the, you know, really far-reaching |
| 0:21.5 | casualisation of the French workforce. Others point to the more structural factors, the EU |
| 0:26.8 | budgetary rules you mention, or the declining productivity that French business is experiencing. |
| 0:32.7 | Where would you want to place the emphasis in explaining the apparent refusal to even, you know, try to compromise? |
| 0:38.6 | Well, it is a bit mysterious because, as I say, he has been tactically very inept at trying |
| 0:43.9 | to gain the complicity of sections of the Labour movement that would have been happy to collaborate |
| 0:50.2 | with him on a somewhat different set of reforms. I think that one of the factors is clearly |
| 0:56.5 | that, yeah, I mean, there are fantasies about doing a fatten and leaving a mark. I mean, we must |
| 1:03.1 | remember that Macron is a lame duck president. He can't stand again at the next presidential |
| 1:08.1 | elections and he doesn't have a strong parliamentary majority he can rely on. |
| 1:12.8 | So there is, I imagine, an argument going on around him that, you know, he needs to leave a mark |
| 1:19.7 | through a big social, neoliberal form of this type. |
| 1:23.1 | On the one hand, and also the notion that if he doesn't, the divisions within his own camp, |
| 1:30.5 | as people start to compete to see who will be the presidential candidate for the next presidential |
| 1:35.8 | elections will open up, and that could completely immobilize the rest of his presidency |
| 1:41.1 | in terms of being able to do anything significant. That is clearly an important factor. |
| 1:46.0 | I think there may also be a strategic issue here, which is that, as we've discussed before, in previous discussions, |
| 1:52.0 | you know, Macron's support was originally, in 2017, was based on soaking up a whole number of centre-left votes, people who'd voted for the Socialist Party |
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