Ep72 - A Data-Centric Perspective on the Coronavirus Challenge Facing us All
The Fat Emperor Podcast
ivor cummins
4.8 • 766 Ratings
🗓️ 24 April 2020
⏱️ 18 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
PLEASE SHARE TO HELP PEOPLE GRASP THE DATA - SOMEWHAT.
Episode 72: Another one for data-centric people everywhere
- are we really looking at the data with a critical eye?
- do we really think we are taking a bird's eye view of the situation?
We may not be - at all. We may be even fooling ourselves somewhat - you decide.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Fat Emperor podcast. I'm your host, Ivor Cummins. |
| 0:07.2 | Hello all. Today's podcast will focus on data around the current situation the world is facing. |
| 0:13.3 | So I've been asked a lot about this, a lot of conversations online, as you can imagine. |
| 0:17.8 | And it's an emerging situation. and the data is getting more clear but |
| 0:22.7 | certainly no one has a monopoly on the truth or exactly what's happening here but today i thought |
| 0:28.7 | i'd take a data focused look and share some of the data that's emerged and what it might mean |
| 0:34.6 | so in any technical problem or complex issue |
| 0:38.2 | where there's a lag time between the initial insult |
| 0:41.1 | and the outcomes and there's a lot of confusion and tension, |
| 0:45.5 | you know, you really need to look at who are the most at risk. |
| 0:49.8 | Or what parts are the most at risk? |
| 0:52.5 | You know, Pareto principle in the extreme if you will where do |
| 0:56.6 | you focus your effort most you need to understand this so who are the most at risk and first i'll |
| 1:02.0 | show some portugal data and you can see here that there is a mortality spike this is a severe |
| 1:08.0 | infection for sure and there's a mortality spike across the whole population |
| 1:12.9 | all age groups and that's clear but if you look at just under 65 year olds there is no real |
| 1:19.7 | mortality spike versus previous years so it's all the same data so the lag is kind of accounted |
| 1:26.2 | for but it emphasizes who's more at risk, over 65. |
| 1:30.3 | And someone actually pulled the data for over 75 versus under 75. |
| 1:36.3 | And if you look at the mortality spike for all ages, again, we see it here compared to 2018, |
| 1:42.3 | and it's certainly jumped up in April as expected and but when you look |
| 1:46.7 | at under 75 same data there's no real spike at all hardly so it's not that younger people |
... |
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