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Michael Covel's Trend Following

Ep. 945: Parabolic Up with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

Michael Covel

Business, Investing

4.6732 Ratings

🗓️ 12 February 2021

⏱️ 22 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Please enjoy my monologue Parabolic Up with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

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I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

My social media platforms:
Twitter: @covel
Facebook: @trendfollowing
LinkedIn: @covel
Instagram: @mikecovel

Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This is trend following radio where great thinking comes alive.

0:10.9

Nobel Prize winners, legendary traders, bestselling authors, and the pros that know what drive us irrational human beings.

0:21.2

I am your host, Michael Covel, not filtered, raw, honest.

0:27.4

That's my passion.

0:33.6

Something a little different today.

0:35.2

I'm going to reach into an associate of mine who's not yet been on my show.

0:41.0

I think I'll get him one day. A guy named John Hussman who runs Hussman funds. John is a value guy. He is not a trend following guy, not a quant guy in the way that I think of quant.

0:56.3

John is a very smart guy and and John has a very unique way, a very straightforward way of describing current market environments

1:04.4

compared to past market environments. Now, some people will immediately think that I'm telling them to do something.

1:13.6

I'm not. John might be. That's his business. But what I want to do is to take some of John's

1:21.9

words and let you think about them. Let you think about what John is describing where we are right now in

1:31.5

2021. John starts off his February 2021 newsletter with a quote, quote, the nutshell is this.

1:41.2

The old line economy stocks just don't work because they have earnings

1:45.1

and eventually rising interest rates impact earnings. New economy stocks have no earnings

1:51.4

so investors don't see a need to exit. End quote. It was a Wall Street analyst on CNBC,

1:59.2

early March 2000, and as John notes, said with a perfectly straight face.

2:06.3

You market historians out there might know that March of 2000 was the high of the dot com bubble.

2:12.8

And from that high of the dot com bubble, the NASDAQ dropped down between 77 and 83%.

2:21.5

Depending, I think, on whether you looked at a close or an intraday drop.

2:28.2

77%.

2:29.9

Now think about it.

2:32.0

For all of you folks out there that think you're smart, you think you got the magic crystal ball, we got a great bull market. We arguably have a massive bubble market. Can you imagine losing 77% of what you see on your day trading screen every day. Good question to ask, right? Let me jump back

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