meta_pixel
Tapesearch Logo
Log in
Michael Covel's Trend Following

Ep. 397: Jim Rickards Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

Michael Covel

Business, Investing

4.6732 Ratings

🗓️ 13 November 2015

⏱️ 49 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

My guest today is Jim Rickards. Jim was front and center during the 1998 LTCM blow-up. He was a partner and general counsel for Long Term Capital Management. Following their blowup, he was principal negotiator in the 1998 bailout of LTCM by the Federal Reserve. He has had a bird's eye view of some of the most interesting events in the economy over the last 20 years.

The topic is all that is finance.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Jim talks about the three elements that his model is based on: behavioral finance, complexity theory and inverse probability. He goes into great depth on what all of those models are and gives real life examples for them.

Jump in!

---

I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

My social media platforms:
Twitter: @covel
Facebook: @trendfollowing
LinkedIn: @covel
Instagram: @mikecovel

Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This is Trend Following Radio, where great thinking comes alive.

0:10.9

Nobel Prize winners, legendary traders, best-selling authors, and the pros that know what drive us irrational human beings.

0:20.7

I am your host, Michael Cove. Not filtered, raw, honest.

0:26.3

That's my passion.

0:32.4

Recently I saw Donald Trump, regardless of your political opinion of Donald Trump, I think what he said was accurate. But what I saw Donald Trump, regardless of your political opinion of Donald Trump, I think what he said

0:39.3

was accurate. But what I saw Donald Trump say was that the Federal Reserve policy was political.

0:48.1

In fact, he specifically said interest rates were being kept low to help the president.

0:57.1

That may or may not be true.

1:05.0

But if you're out there right now and you think that somehow or another, the United States Federal Reserve is apolitical,

1:13.8

well, that's just not accurate. Everything about Washington, D.C. is political.

1:18.9

If the Federal Reserve was not political, there would be a systematic process that every last one of us could follow and know their actions at any given time.

1:24.6

But of course, it is political.

1:27.2

The inputs are political. Everything is political. If there is

1:31.0

any subjective part left open to interpretation, it's political. That's the way it works.

1:37.6

So you can agree with Trump, you can disagree with Trump, and the administration came out and they said,

1:43.1

hey, that's not true. Mr. Trump is

1:45.9

wrong. The Federal Reserve is simply doing what's best for the American economy.

1:53.1

There you have it. The other side of the coin. Now, what's best for the American economy?

1:58.5

That's subjective. What is the American economy? That's subjective.

2:02.5

It's all subjective. But we all do know one thing. It's not a good thing.

2:10.2

When the deficit rings up higher, the debt rings up higher, and interest rates are basically

2:15.7

below zero for all intensive purposes.

...

Please login to see the full transcript.

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Michael Covel, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of Michael Covel and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.

Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.