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Capehart

Election forecaster Rachel Bitecofer explains "the reason Joe Biden is the nominee"

Capehart

The Washington Post

News Commentary, Politics, News

4.61.4K Ratings

🗓️ 10 March 2020

⏱️ 39 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Rachel Bitecofer became a sought after prognosticator after July 2018, when she predicted the Democrats would retake the House. In this episode, Bitecofer talks about how she makes her predictions.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hi everyone I'm Jonathan Cape Heart and welcome to Cape Up. In July 2018

0:09.1

election forecaster and analyst Rachel Bitticoffer did something extraordinary.

0:14.4

Not only did she say the Democrats would retake the House,

0:17.6

she predicted the number of seats,

0:19.8

and she was only off by one.

0:21.9

She's been a sought after prognosticator ever since.

0:24.8

You're not going to want to miss one minute of what Bitticoffer has to say.

0:29.4

Yes, she says Biden will be the Democratic nominee. Yes, she says Democrats will win the. She says

0:33.3

Democrats will win the White House back.

0:36.4

Yes, Senators Susan Collins,

0:38.7

Cori Gardner, and Doug Jones are toast.

0:42.1

The question is, how does she know this? Why is she so certain? Find out right now.

0:51.6

Rachel Bitticoffer, thank you very much for coming on the podcast.

0:55.0

Well, the pleasure is all mine, Jonathan, thank you.

0:57.0

Okay, so five years ago, nobody knew who you were.

1:01.0

Two years ago, I'll let Two years this come July, you did something

1:06.9

that put you on the map.

1:08.7

What did you do?

1:09.9

Well, two years ago in July, I came out on Twitter where I had a grand total of 660 Twitter

1:17.2

followers and I started trolling the big election forecasters and they were having serious conversations as to whether the

1:24.8

Democrats could pick up the 23 seats they needed to flip the house and I

1:28.6

introduced my new theory and model which was arguing no no no you guys are way undercutting this it's going to be

...

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