Effectively Wild Episode 2140: Don’t Bet on It
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowley
4.7 • 2.7K Ratings
🗓️ 21 March 2024
⏱️ 111 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary

After a brief preamble about the betting scandal surrounding Shohei Ohtani and interpreter Ippei Mizuhara, Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the first game of the regular season, whether gloves have gotten more permeable, the odds of a DH-only Ohtani MVP season, Ohtani’s lucrative endorsements, whether the addition of in-app gambling info to NBA League Pass portends a similar future for MLB.TV, the pitfalls of pervasive sports-betting ads, the implications of Eury Pérez’s elbow injury, the chances that Pérez will win multiple Cy Young awards, and the decimated Marlins rotation. Then (34:39) they answer listener emails about what makes pitchers aesthetically pleasing, whether Blake Snell is effectively wild, whether coaches spend more time on stars or scrubs, moving the bullpen beneath the mound, whether MLB has too many multi-team markets, and joint broadcast booths, plus Stat Blasts (1:12:04) on the Dodgers’ daunting top of the order and the Padres’ profusion of shortstops, followed by (1:37:49) a real-time reaction to the Ohtani-Mizuhara news and a postscript with additional details and thoughts.
Audio intro: Liz Panella, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio outro: Ian H., “Effectively Wild Theme”
Link to shortstop PPR
Link to Gromit GIF
Link to Cronenworth play
Link to opener box score
Link to Duffy glove fail
Link to Vlad glove fail
Link to The Atlantic on flying
Link to Ohtani MVP odds
Link to DH MVP article
Link to NL WAR projections
Link to 2023 AL WAR leaders
Link to endorsement leaders
Link to MLBTR on Eury
Link to Baumann on Marlins SP
Link to article on Sixto
Link to Cy Youngs quote
Link to non-Cy winners
Link to Stuff+ ranking
Link to League Pass article
Link to Manfred-Silver story
Link to Hefner article
Link to moving mound EW episode
Link to Emma on bullpen brawlers
Link to two-team cities wiki
Link to MLB Sunday Leadoff wiki
Link to MASN booth article
Link to Sterling-Castiglione swap
Link to 1953 Scully story
Link to listener emails database
Link to Cory Brent’s Stat Blast cover
Link to Ben’s Dodgers-Padres article
Link to highest leadoff OPS
Link to leadoff power article
Link to Stat Blast sheet 1
Link to Stat Blast image 1
Link to Stat Blast image 2
Link to Ryan Nelson’s Twitter
Link to Cooper on the Padres
Link to Stat Blast sheet 2
Link to Kenny Jackelen’s Twitter
Link to Ron Swanson clip
Link to Shohei couples photo
Link to L.A. Times Ohtani report
Link to ESPN Ohtani report
Link to The Athletic Ohtani report
Link to Jaguars story
Link to Jaguars story 2
Link to ballpark meetup forms
Link to meetup organizer form
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Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | Hey folks, Ben here, don't you just love our little chats before the episode even starts? |
| 0:04.4 | When there's a pre-intro intro, you know some shit went down. |
| 0:07.5 | As it happens, we were just wrapping up the episode you're about to hear. |
| 0:11.0 | When news broke about a confusing, |
| 0:13.4 | dismaying, murky story about Shohay Otani's longtime interpreter, |
| 0:17.8 | constant companion and close friend Ipe Mizuhara, |
| 0:20.8 | big sports gambling debts and payments to a bookie under federal investigation, |
| 0:25.1 | Anotani's knowledge of and involvement in those debts and payments, if any. |
| 0:29.3 | Mizuhara has already been fired by the Dodgers for whatever part he played in this nebulous but serious scandal. |
| 0:35.6 | Later on, we will hear the real-time reaction that Meg and I had to this news. |
| 0:39.9 | We were blissfully stat-lasting when it surfaced, not suspecting the storm that was about to be unleashed. |
| 0:45.6 | We didn't have all the details yet, and it seems like we're still far from having all the details now, |
| 0:50.0 | but you'll hear our brief episode ending reaction in the moment which kind of captures the |
| 0:55.2 | wTFness of this entire saga. |
| 0:57.8 | After that in the outro I'll provide a few clarifications based on subsequent reporting. |
| 1:02.4 | Ironically this episode starts |
| 1:04.1 | with some conversation about Shoey Otani and about the potential pitfalls of |
| 1:08.8 | betting on sports. We did not yet suspect at that point that those threads would be woven together in some way |
| 1:14.3 | by the time we were finished speaking. However, the revelations that came out during our recording |
| 1:18.7 | are kind of case in point for why our initial banter about sports gambling and the omnipresence of the marketing surrounding it took the tone it did. |
| 1:26.1 | You'll hear what I mean. I think it's too soon to draw any firm conclusions about what went down |
| 1:30.5 | among Mizuhara and Otani and the alleged bookie Matthew |
... |
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