Dropout Predictions for Iowa. Dem Coalition Fracturing. Nikki Haley Optimism Overload (with Evan Scrimshaw)
Politics Politics Politics
Justin Robert Young
4.6 • 870 Ratings
🗓️ 3 January 2024
⏱️ 70 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Justin discusses the upcoming Iowa caucus and makes predictions about two potential dropouts. He also covers the proposal for a hostage deal between Hamas and Israel, Trump's decision to appear in a Fox News town hall, and Nikki Haley's path to the nomination.
Evan Scrimshaw then joins to discuss the current standings of the failed candidate fantasy draft and the implications of recent polls. They delve into the trust issues in the black community and the potential impact on the upcoming election. The conversation also covers the weaknesses of the Biden administration, messaging challenges, and the role of inflation. They analyze the Iowa poll averages and the race for second place, with a focus on Nikki Haley's path to victory. The potential campaign dropouts and the future prospects of Chris Christie and Ron DeSantis are also discussed. The conversation concludes with predictions for the primary and an off-topic discussion on the NFL playoffs.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | On this edition of the program, we bring you two hot takes on dropouts that are going to happen before the Iowa Caucus is done. |
| 0:11.0 | And we have Evan Scrimshaw to not only break down |
| 0:14.0 | Biden's coalitional problems, but also |
| 0:17.7 | some predictions for Iowa and New Hampshire, |
| 0:20.8 | Nicky Haley stands. Stick around. It's all coming up. |
| 0:26.1 | This is made possible by Bo Them Bones, Daily Tech News Show and Craig. Oh, Hello and welcome everybody to the politics politics program the first of |
| 1:00.8 | 2024 we're here we're! We're here! We're here! We made it! We made it the 2024! I'm so thrilled, I'm so excited. We are, we are live. We're going to be in Iowa. This is a busy busy month. Iowa, New |
| 1:16.3 | Hampshire. I'm gonna be in all those rooms. Oh God I'm so thrilled. I'm so |
| 1:22.3 | excited. I'm so excited. |
| 1:24.0 | I've been pent up, man. |
| 1:25.8 | I wasn't able to get to sleep last night. |
| 1:27.3 | I just want to let you guys know exactly how much of a nerd I am with this. |
| 1:32.1 | I was tossing and turning because I was excited to do this show. I'm |
| 1:37.8 | excited to cover this race because this race is now exciting and we're going to lead |
| 1:41.9 | off with this little news peg. |
| 1:46.3 | Vavake Ramashwami is out of the CNN-Iowa debate. |
| 1:53.0 | That's going to happen on January 10th. |
| 1:58.0 | It will be the last televised debate before the Iowa caucus. |
| 2:02.0 | To qualify, you needed over 10% in three separate |
| 2:07.4 | either national or Iowa polls. Vavex been around 6% in both of the early states and a little bit less than that nationally. |
| 2:17.0 | So, since only Donald Trump, Nicky Haley, and Ron DeSantis have qualified. |
| 2:24.4 | That means both Vavake and Chris Christie, |
... |
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