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GoodFellows: Conversations on Economics, History & Geopolitics

Dire Straits: Condoleezza Rice on The War with Iran | Hoover Institution

GoodFellows: Conversations on Economics, History & Geopolitics

Hoover Institution

News, News Commentary, News:news Commentary, Politics, Government

4.6717 Ratings

🗓️ 12 March 2026

⏱️ 58 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Does the current conflict in the Middle East suggest that America has learned from its recent past wars? Hoover Institution Director and former US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice joins GoodFellows regulars Sir Niall Ferguson, John Cochrane and Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster to discuss the prospects of an oil “shock” prompted by a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz as well as a political “shock” back in the US when voters go to the polls in November, China and Russia’s losses in terms of stature and friendly regimes, plus what the Anthropic-Pentagon legal kerfuffle suggests about the role of emerging technology in history’s first AI-enabled war and the problems in being portrayed as a societal menace. Afterwards: the fellows reflect on the 250th anniversary of Adam Smith’s The Wealth of Nations, billionaires in the crosshairs of the “affordability” debate, and why they won’t be watching the upcoming Academy Awards.   Subscribe to GoodFellows for clarity on today’s biggest social, economic, and geostrategic shifts — only on GoodFellows.

Transcript

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0:00.0

A short time ago, the United States military began major combat operations in Iran.

0:09.0

Our objective is to defend the American people by eliminating eminent threats from the Iranian regime,

0:18.0

a vicious group of very hard, terrible people.

0:30.1

It's Wednesday, March 11th, 2026, and welcome back to Goodfellows, a Hoover

0:34.0

institution broadcast examining history, economics, and geopolitics. I'm Bill Whalen.

0:38.9

I'm a Hoover Distinguished Policy Fellow, and I'll be your moderator today. Looking forward to

0:42.7

conversation featuring our three regulars, the Good Fellows, as we call them. I'm referring, of course,

0:47.0

to the historians, Sir Neil Ferguson, the economist John Cochran, and former Presidential National

0:52.4

Security Advisor, Lieutenant General H.R. McMaster, Neil John, and H.R. are all Hoover senior fellows. So, gentlemen, be on your best behavior today because we are joined by the boss. I'm referring, of course, to the director of the Hoover Institution, former presidential national security advisor, former U.S. Secretary of State, Condole Lisa Rice. Condi, great to see you. Great to be with you. So you should know that on our last Goodfellows, Condi, it was last Friday at the same time you were in Washington, D.C., and I think about five minutes after he stopped recording, our producer Scott Immigrant forwarded me a tweet, and the tweet was NBC tweeting breathlessly, Condoleezza Rice is at the White House. And about 10 minutes later, NBC tweeting, it's for college sports. But then border erupted yet again after that, exorrupted after that, Connie, because you were seen walking off with the president and his chief of staff, Susie Wiles. So we could either start the show by you telling us what you told the president, but I imagine

1:44.7

that's probably off the record. So let's go in a different direction. On our last show, Condi,

1:49.3

Neil referred to this as Gulf War III. So my question to you is, how do we keep Gulf War III but

1:55.6

becoming World War III or a much bludier regional conflict? Condi, what diplomatic guardrails,

2:02.6

what military guardrails need to be in place? Well, look, we've gone through a very interesting period here that I would go all the way back to

2:08.6

October 7th when I think Israel's conception of its own ability to deter attacks on its population

2:16.6

was really shattered by that awful attack of October

2:19.1

7th. It was very clear that Hamas, and I have to believe, trained and equipped, maybe even

2:26.6

planned in coordination with the Iranians. And then, of course, you had the action in June

2:31.0

between the United States and Israel, which was a coordinated action

2:36.0

to deal with the, largely with the Iranian nuclear program, but also knocked out Iranian

2:40.4

air defenses in large part.

2:42.6

And so then finally, the action that we've seen over the last week plus, which I would

2:48.6

state in the following way, and I think one way to think about guardrails is do you have a clear set of objectives?

...

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