Democratic Early Voting Firewalls Too Small or Missing? Seven Days To Go! (with Taylor Lorenz, Gabe Fleisher and Mark Sutton)
Politics Politics Politics
Justin Robert Young
4.6 • 870 Ratings
🗓️ 30 October 2024
⏱️ 139 minutes
🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
If you would like to get 150 episodes of Politics Politics Politics for $99 please take advantage of our annual deal that ends on Halloween!
By the time you hear this episode, we will have less than seven days until Election Day.
Here are the metrics I am looking at…
Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin: Trump 54% to win
Jon Ralston’s Nevada Early Voting Blog: GOP has 38,000 ballot advantage
And here is the math comparing the final tallies in Nevada and Arizona…
Electoral History of Nevada:
Biden +2.5
Clinton +2.5
Obama +6.5
Obama +12.5
Electoral History of Arizona:
Biden + Less than .5
Trump + 3.5
Romney +9
McCain +8.5
How much more Democratic is Nevada than Arizona?
2008: 21
2012: 15.5
2016: 6
2020: 2
On this episode of the show we welcome Taylor Lorenz for the first time. We discuss independent media, the blogging revolution of the 2000s and an unfortunate tweet. Also, Wake Up To Politics’ Gabe Fleisher helps us look at the final hours of this contest. And finally, Mark Sutton helps us break down the gender gap.
Let’s go!
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Final seven days of the 2024 election and we have a massive show for you. |
| 0:04.4 | Taylor Lorenz joins the program. |
| 0:07.2 | We have Gabe Fleischer of Wake Up to Politics. |
| 0:09.4 | We explain the gender gap and what it means for election day and we go over all the latest |
| 0:14.6 | polls and predictors it's all coming up. |
| 0:18.6 | Following is brought to you by just another pilot. Hello and welcome everybody to the politics politics |
| 0:45.0 | politics program for Wednesday, October 30th |
| 0:49.4 | 2024 year old foul Justin Robert Young joining you here in Austin Texas. It's Devil's Night |
| 0:58.2 | Right before Halloween and I have just some urgent news for you guys. Urgent, urgent, urgent news. |
| 1:05.0 | If you were listening to this podcast, then you were a supporter on Patreon. Now is the time to move your financial support over to |
| 1:18.9 | Substack. Just head on over to politics politics. |
| 1:23.0 | politics.com. |
| 1:24.0 | Click on any of the posts. |
| 1:26.0 | Click on a subscribe button. There's a subscribe button right up in the right-hand corner. |
| 1:30.0 | If you use the same email that you had on Patreon, then you should be able to be |
| 1:36.2 | guided right through the process. If you are starting a new account on Substack, |
| 1:39.8 | thank you. But the reason why I tell you that you need to do it right now, like Thank you |
| 1:43.3 | need to do it right now. |
| 1:44.8 | Like not soon right now is because we've got this deal, |
| 1:50.6 | this sweetheart deal |
| 1:58.5 | to have you guys move your support and that is one year of the bonus content you guys are used to. One year of it for $99. That's 150 episodes of PX3 for less than $100. We are going to take |
| 2:11.7 | this deal away on Halloween. |
... |
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