December 28th - NFL Odds, Picks and Market Discussion
The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Adam Chernoff
4.8 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 28 December 2021
⏱️ 15 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
NFL Odds, Picks and Market Discussion for December 28th, 2021
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good morning, everyone. The Simple Handicap for Tuesday, December 28th. Thank you for making me a part of your morning. |
| 0:08.9 | Hopefully your Tuesday is off to a fantastic start as we look forward to NFL week 17 with week 16 officially in the rearview mirror behind us. |
| 0:18.4 | No Thursday games. So we're going to jump right into the market |
| 0:21.2 | rundown for Sunday. Las Vegas gets things going on the road at the Indianapolis Colts, |
| 0:27.5 | a game that has ping ponged back and forth in every sense of the word. So in the open, |
| 0:34.1 | anywhere between eight and a half and nine. We talked about the irrelevance of nine yesterday on the podcast |
| 0:39.3 | and the few books showing nine and a half weren't all that different from market. |
| 0:44.0 | Las Vegas immediately took money that nine and a half and eight and a half across the board were taken. |
| 0:50.5 | This actually got down yesterday afternoon as low as six and a half, and it was a six and a half |
| 0:57.7 | shaded towards Vegas. So when you're looking at Pinnacle, they opened Vegas nine and a half minus |
| 1:02.9 | 113, got down to as low as six and a half minus 107 in favor of Las Vegas. And then we had like an interesting news break. |
| 1:13.7 | So two different beat reporters for Las Vegas said COVID news is coming for the Raiders, |
| 1:19.0 | but they didn't say who the news was coming about. And so there was like some market uncertainty |
| 1:24.7 | for about a 12 to 15 minute window where nobody knew it was going on. |
| 1:28.9 | And then basically the entire Raiders starting defense was placed on the COVID list. |
| 1:34.1 | So we saw this number immediately during that speculation window. |
| 1:38.2 | All the six and a halfs were taken. |
| 1:39.9 | And now we're back to seven and a half shaded higher with BOL at eight. |
| 1:43.6 | Some other offshores at eight as well. |
| 1:45.7 | Nobody else in the states in terms of regulated sports books, |
| 1:49.3 | Fandooddraft King, Caesar's win bet, and the likes have gone back to eight, |
| 1:53.6 | nor has circan, nor has pinnacle. |
... |
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