David Rutherford Show: Seth Keshel On The 2026 Midterm Disaster Republicans Aren't Ready For
The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show
iHeartPodcasts
4.5 • 11.4K Ratings
🗓️ 27 April 2026
⏱️ 45 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
The mail-in ballot machine that decided Virginia is loaded and pointed at the 2026 midterms — and the Republican Party has almost no margin to absorb the hit.
Captain Seth Keshel joins David to break down what really happened in Virginia's redistricting referendum, why the Save Act is dead in the Senate, and the four symptoms of "electoral dysfunction" that have turned American elections into a multi-week guessing game. You'll learn why voter registration — not polling — is the only intelligence signal that actually predicts elections, why 28 of 30 party-registration states are bleeding Democrats, and why Seth is still giving the GOP a 25% chance of holding the House.
David and Seth also break down the Texas Senate primary, the Cornyn–Paxton fight, the redistricting wars, and what Trump should be doing right now to "buy the midterms" — psychologically, not illegally.
Captain Seth Keshel is a former Army intelligence officer, election analyst, and author of The American War on Election Corruption (foreword by Newt Gingrich).
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | This is an I-Heart podcast. |
| 0:02.3 | Guaranteed Human. |
| 0:04.1 | After the recent Virginia election, one of the challenging things that we still face is, |
| 0:09.9 | are mail-in ballots going to affect the future midterms? |
| 0:14.0 | Well, today I'm bringing on one of the top experts in the field, |
| 0:17.6 | Captain Seth Cashel to the program today on the David Rutherford show. |
| 0:31.0 | Captain Cashel, welcome to the program. Thank you so much, sir, for coming in on a Sunday. |
| 0:36.1 | Well, I'm really glad to be on with you, David. |
| 0:37.9 | I know we've been playing tag. I'm trying to get this thing scheduled. And I think I told you before the show, you know, it's easier to get me within about 10 hours of notice than it is to book me two months out. So I'm glad that we're able to do this. Well, I tell you what, I thought I was busy traveling. I'd pretty much travel every week for my day job, but you know, you were just bansing all over the country. And I just, before we get going, I just want to thank you for the seminal work you've been doing since 2020. I remember you in the beginning of this whole nightmare. And, know it's interesting we were chatting before getting |
| 1:12.4 | on you know it's we need more veterans uh whether if from the intel community the operator |
| 1:18.4 | community whatever it is to step into this battlefield of getting our elections squared away |
| 1:23.9 | and so i just commend you for doing that well Well, I feel the same way about all veterans, |
| 1:28.7 | you included, that are, that are busy fighting the fight. You have a really important role in the |
| 1:34.3 | information space. And there's so much bad information and mental junk food out there that if we |
| 1:39.3 | don't find people that know how to put truth rounds down range, we're going to lose the battle |
| 1:43.1 | before it really even culminates. |
| 1:45.4 | Well, that I agree wholeheartedly. |
| 1:47.4 | So let's jump in. |
| 1:48.7 | Can you just give us, I don't know, like a short overview of your thoughts on what took place in the Virginia redistricting special election? |
| 1:57.9 | Well, we have a number of things at hand. |
| 2:04.8 | The yes referendum passed on Tuesday by a margin of about three points, less than 100,000 votes. And of course, we had no, which was the |
| 2:10.8 | best side of this, which wrote a preserved legitimately fair maps. Virginia had one of the most |
... |
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