Daily Covid and Markets Podcast - Wednesday June 3
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 3 June 2020
⏱️ 22 minutes
🔗️ Recording | Apple Podcasts | RSS
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Summary
The market exploded 527 points higher today, now well past 26,000 on the Dow, and in the high range of our general short term target. REIT’s, financials, and energy names led the way today. And while the question of, “how can markets be going higher when ___” are completely understandable and reasonable, the answer(s) remain no different regardless of how you fill in that blank. First, markets need no reason to do what they do in either direction, ever. Second, they are forward-looking and have incredible knack for shaking off what they know will be out of the news in days if not hours. Third, the Fed. Fourth, the economic re-opening is going very well. And finally, fifth, the Fed.
Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Dividing Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life. |
| 0:12.0 | Hello and welcome to today's COVID in markets brought to you by the Dividing Cafe of the Bonson Group. This is David Bonson, Chief Investment Officer of the Bonson Group. It is Wednesday, |
| 0:21.6 | June the 3rd, with our daily COVID and markets missive. The Dow exploded 527 points higher today, |
| 0:31.0 | now well past 26,000 on the Dow and in the high range of our general short-term target, reets, financials, |
| 0:42.1 | energy names led the way today. And so the general question, which I assure you I get asked |
| 0:48.4 | somewhere in the range of 10 to 20 times a day, which is totally fine. It's understandable and rational question. But the question |
| 0:58.0 | of some version, how can the markets be going higher when blank? The answer remains no different, |
| 1:05.5 | regardless of how you fill in that blank. First, markets need no reason to do what they do in either direction ever. |
| 1:13.6 | Second, they're forward looking, have incredible knack for shaking off what they know will be out |
| 1:19.0 | of the news in days, if not hours. Third, the Fed. Fourth, economic reopening, and I'll add |
| 1:26.6 | that with that the health data is going very well. |
| 1:31.1 | And fifth, the Fed. |
| 1:32.9 | If I was going to add a six, it would be the economic reopening is going very well, and the |
| 1:37.1 | seventh would be the Fed. |
| 1:40.0 | I don't know if that joke is funny or not, but I'm just sitting here by myself so I can say |
| 1:43.7 | whatever I want. |
| 1:45.7 | The health data, when I refer to it going well, let me kind of give you some context on the numbers today. |
| 1:51.2 | Case growth of just above 1% is where our daily pattern is right now. |
| 1:57.5 | A new case number right now is averaging somewhere around 20,000. |
| 2:02.6 | It's been there. |
| 2:04.6 | Yet that number is staying in place even as the rolling averages for new testing numbers is beginning to go much higher. |
| 2:13.6 | And so new cases are declining when you adjust for the rolling average of testing numbers. |
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