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The Dividend Cafe

Daily Covid and Markets Podcast - Thursday June 4

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Wealth Management, Macro Economics, Retirement Planning, Estate Planning, Monetary Policy, Investing, Dividend Growth Investing, Business

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 5 June 2020

⏱️ 18 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The weekly jobless claims came in at 1.87 million, and continuing claims totaled 21.5 million. We will get the official unemployment number for the month of May from the Bureau of Labor Statistics tomorrow morning. The numbers today were about as bad as expected if not a bit worse, whereas yesterday’s number was exponentially better than expected. More on all of that in tomorrow’s Dividend Cafe!

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividing Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:12.8

Hello and welcome to today's COVID and markets brought to you by the Dividend Cafe here at the Bonson Group.

0:19.4

This is David Bonson. You know the routine. I'll spare you

0:22.7

all the details. Look, the market ended up kind of flattish today. Dow was up a couple points with

0:28.1

the S&P was down a bit more and it was really just one or two stocks that brought the Dow up. So

0:33.2

kind of a flattish day, but really strong performance from some select shopping mall

0:40.7

reits that will remain nameless, some banks, life insurers, some of the areas you would

0:46.8

expect to benefit from a steepening yield curve.

0:49.9

And I absolutely love a chart that I put in straight from my own FACSET analytics today at

0:57.0

COVID-a markets.com to kind of help explain what's driving the performance in some of these

1:02.0

select industries the benefit from a widening spread between short-term interest rates and

1:07.0

long-term rates.

1:08.5

So you basically have the short end of the yield curve, very short

1:13.9

maturities, six-month, one-year, two-year of treasury bills that their yields have really not

1:21.8

moved this week, last week, or over last month, but you have a longer dated treasury bond, let's call it,

1:30.1

the 30 year, where the yield has spread has gone much higher. So the spread between the short

1:36.3

and the long has really expanded. And that becomes very positive environment for risk taking.

1:44.2

It becomes a very positive environment for the banks and certain companies that are

1:50.6

financially organized around those lines.

1:53.7

So on a macroeconomic standpoint, it's Thursday, which means its weekly jobless claims number,

1:59.2

it came in at $1.87 million, lowest number we've

2:02.1

had since COVID began, but still a very high number and actually a little higher than some of

...

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