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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Daily Briefing – August 20, 2020 – The Best Thing For Asset Prices Is A Deep Recession: Roger Hirst

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business News, News, Investing, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 20 August 2020

⏱️ 37 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Senior editor, Ash Bennington, hosts managing editor, Roger Hirst, to discuss ongoing global monetary and fiscal policy support, how central banks may need to adjust their course, and what the long-term ramifications would look like. Ash and Roger review the latest FOMC minutes and consider the effects of looser inflation targeting and the implementation of yield curve control. They dig deeper into the push and pull of inflation targeting by looking at the risks of aiming for reflation and ending up with stagflation. In an environment of low rates and low yields within a deflationary structure, Roger and Ash explore how aggregate debt and growth could be negatively impacted in the long run. Finally, they look at how these scenarios would be expressed in currency markets—the continuing disparity between the dollar and the DXY and the growing pressure for a weaker euro and yen. In the intro, Peter Cooper examines the scaling back of U.S. dollar liquidity swaps, the newest unemployment numbers, and the FOMC minutes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

It's Thursday, August 20, 2020, as we headed in market close, London time. This is the

0:12.4

Real Vision Daily briefing. I'm Ash Bennington in

0:15.2

New York joined shortly by Real Vision Creative Studios managing editor Roger Hurst.

0:20.0

But first, Peter Cooper with the day's stories.

0:23.0

Thanks, Ash.

0:24.0

The European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan, the Bank of England, and the Swiss National Bank

0:29.0

have all announced today that they will be scaling back their US dollar liquidity operations

0:33.4

due to quote continuing improvements in US dollar funding conditions and the low

0:38.3

demand end quote this is the second time the central banks have cut back.

0:42.6

Now, instead of offering swap lines for short-term dollar funding three times a week,

0:46.6

it will be cut back to once a week.

0:48.5

The Fed had reinstated the swap lines with several central banks in March

0:52.1

to ease liquidity constraints globally after a surge in demand for dollars.

0:55.6

The amount outstanding has tapered off since June. While liquidity conditions have stabilized and developed

1:00.4

in emerging economies, the macro outlook remains highly uncertain. And mixed data and

1:04.1

the macro outlook remains highly uncertain. And mixed data is keeping everyone on edge, including the Fed.

1:07.7

Today, the US initial jobless claims experienced an increase to 1.1 million,

1:12.1

seasonally adjusted.

1:13.4

This increase was above the estimates of 920,000

1:16.6

for initial claims.

1:17.7

Non-seasonally adjusted numbers also show an increase

1:20.6

to 891,510.

...

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