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Think from KERA

Crime rates are actually falling. Really.

Think from KERA

KERA

Think, Society & Culture, Krysboyd, 071003, Kera

4.7911 Ratings

🗓️ 25 February 2026

⏱️ 47 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

After a pandemic-era spike in crime, public safety numbers are improving. The reasons are surprising. Henry Grabar is a staff writer at The Atlantic and he joins host Krys Boyd to discuss why the national murder rate has gone down 20 percent even with understaffed police forces around the country, the strategies being employed to patrol cities, and why a Biden-era policy might’ve opened a path to less crime. His article is “The Great Crime Decline Is Happening All Across the Country.”  

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Transcript

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0:00.0

If producers at HBO wanted to make new episodes of The Wire, they might have to start by scouting for a new location.

0:17.8

Back in 2002, real life Baltimore made a believable setting for a gritty crime

0:22.7

drama, but the murder rate there has fallen nearly 60% in the last five years, despite a

0:29.1

serious police shortage. From KERA in Dallas, this is think. I'm Chris Boyd. Baltimore's turnaround

0:35.9

is remarkable, but it is not unique.

0:39.3

Crime has been declining throughout the U.S. at rates many communities might once have thought impossible.

0:44.8

If we want to keep those trends moving in the right direction, it will be helpful to understand why it's happened and who's responsible.

0:51.6

Henry Grabar has been covering this for The Atlantic where he's a staff writer.

0:55.8

His story is titled The Great Crime Decline is Happening All Across the Country.

1:00.4

Henry, welcome back to think.

1:02.8

Thanks for having me.

1:04.5

We should address this right off the top so we keep people with us.

1:08.0

Many Americans seem inclined to believe crime is always getting worse, regardless

1:12.7

of what is in the data. Do you have any sense of why culturally we find it hard to believe

1:18.5

that crime statistics can actually improve? Well, one thing that I think that has particularly

1:24.9

changed in the last few years that has really changed the dynamic around the way people perceive crime is the rise of viral video.

1:32.3

And I think we just can't underestimate how likely it is that people are sharing videos of disturbing acts being committed on, say, public transit, to take a notable

1:45.6

recent example from last year, and that is influencing that perception of what is happening

1:52.2

in their community around them.

1:54.1

So I think that is part of the issue, and then the other part of it, obviously, is that

1:58.0

we've had, you know the Donald Trump has been very

2:01.2

committed to describing a lot of these American cities as being you know

...

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