Just before you start listening to this podcast, a reminder that we have a special subscription offer.

You can get 12 issues of The Spectator for £12, as well as a £20,000 Amazon voucher.

Go to spectator.com.uk forward slash voucher if you'd like to get this offer.

Hello and welcome to Coffee House Shots, Spectators Daily and sometimes more than daily politics podcast.

I'm Katie Balls and I'm joined by Fraser Nelson and Joe Twyman from Delta Poll.

So today we are asking the question, should the Tories enter an electoral pact with the Brexit party?

Joe, you're an expert in polling. You can help us try and predict what might happen

in what appears to be an unpredictable election. Is the data you're seeing suggesting the Tories

might need support from Nigra Farage in some form to get close to a majority?

Well, there's a lot of evidence to suggest that it would help the Conservatives if they did

go into a pact.

The most obvious example you can point to is the Brecon and Radnashire by-election held in August.

There we saw an alliance of Remain parties led by the Lib Dems,

defeating the Conservatives and the Brexit Party,

though their combined vote was more than the Lib Dems won.

And so if you look at the 45 constituents that are less safe than that constituency

and indeed lean more towards Remain, you can see the Conservatives needing to pick up every possible vote in those areas

if they're to hold on to the MPs they have.

But, of course, it's not quite that simple. And the difficulty

that the Conservative Party have is that if they go too far one way towards the Brexit Party and

what will be perceived as pursuing no deal, they may in turn alienate the more moderate, more remain-leaning voters that they have in other

constituencies. And these are the constituencies that they need to firstly hold on to and

...