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GoodFellows: Conversations on Economics, History & Geopolitics

Coercive Diplomacy: Venezuela, Iran, and . . . Greenland? | GoodFellows | Hoover Institution

GoodFellows: Conversations on Economics, History & Geopolitics

Hoover Institution

News, News Commentary, News:news Commentary, Politics, Government

4.6 • 717 Ratings

🗓️ 8 January 2026

⏱️ 56 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

American special forces capture Venezuela’s president and his wife in a daring nighttime operation, returning the deposed first couple to the US to stand trial for alleged narcoterrorism. Meanwhile, protests in Iran over worsening living conditions, coupled with a cratered economy, threaten that theocracy’s future. GoodFellows regulars Niall Ferguson, John Cochrane, and H.R. McMaster kick off 2026 by discussing both the precedent and the consequences of the move on Maduro, whether other nations (i.e. China) will invoke their own “Monroe Doctrines” to justify regional power grabs, plus the chances of similar fates awaiting Greenland, Colombia, or Cuba. After that: the panel’s thoughts on whether Iran’s regime is in its dying days as conditions on the ground deteriorate; and the chances of political transformation spreading worldwide in 2026—a là the end of the first Cold War—potential signposts of freedom as America celebrates 250 years of individual liberty. Finally, the fellows send their best wishes to a pair of GoodFellows guests—former Nebraska Senator Ben Sasse and Hoover’s Victor Davis Hanson—as the two gentlemen do battle with cancer.   Subscribe to GoodFellows for clarity on today’s biggest social, economic, and geostrategic shifts — only on GoodFellows.

Transcript

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0:00.0

So we are going to run the country until such time as we can do a safe, proper, and judicious transition.

0:08.0

And it has to be judicious because that's what we're all about.

0:17.0

It's Tuesday, January 6, 2026, and welcome back to Goodfellows, a Hoover Institution broadcast,

0:24.1

examining history, economics, and matters of geopolitical importance.

0:28.3

I'm Bill Whalen. I'm a Hoover-dissinguished policy fellow, and I'll be your moderator today.

0:32.4

Looking forward to a spirited conversation featuring three of my colleagues, whom we jokingly refer to as the Goodfellows.

0:38.0

I'm referring, of course, to the historian Sir Neil Ferguson, economist John Cochran,

0:42.7

and former presidential national security advisor, Lieutenant General A.R. McMaster.

0:46.8

Gentlemen, a belated happy new year, and here we are, only three weeks off, and once again,

0:51.0

the world is on fire here. Let's talk about two things that are going

0:54.1

right. Well, we're going to talk about Venezuela, obviously, and time permitting. We will talk a little

0:59.0

bit about Iran. If we don't get very deep into Iran, fear not. We have another show next week,

1:03.5

so perhaps we could pick up where we left off. So let's begin with Venezuela. And HR, I turn to you

1:08.4

because you have kind of unique perspective here.

1:15.0

When you were in the army, you served in Iraq after the toppling of Saddam Hussein, so you seem what it's like for a society to undergo this kind of change. But in 2017, there you were in the

1:20.4

White House advising Donald Trump about matters of geopolitical importance. I took the opportunity

1:26.3

in the time off HR to read your excellent book once

1:29.2

again, that war with ourselves, and I turned the Goodfellow's attention to page 204 and allow me to read

1:34.2

this passage to you. Look at Neil smiling. He loves it when we talk about our books here. Quote,

1:38.9

and here's what you're referring to then Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, HR. Quote,

1:42.8

before we left the room, Tillerson said, Mr. President, please don't say anything about military options for Venezuela. As we walk past a swimming pool on the way to the press pool, I said, Rex, you know that he is a contrarian, and now the first thing he is going to say up of Venezuela is that we are considering military options. Sure enough, when a reporter asked Trump about Venezuela, he said

2:01.3

Venezuela is not very far away, and the people are suffering and they're dying. We have many

...

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