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Hidden Forces

Christopher Cole | The Hundred Year Portfolio: How to Grow & Protect Generational Wealth

Hidden Forces

Demetri Kofinas

Business, Government

4.81.6K Ratings

🗓️ 10 February 2020

⏱️ 55 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In Episode 122 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Christopher Cole, the founder of Artemis Capital Management about how to grow and protect generational wealth that lasts a hundred years. Imagine you have the opportunity to grant your family great wealth and prosperity for 100 years. The opportunity is subject to one final choice. You must decide what assets to invest in and maintain that allocation for an entire century without ever changing it. The future of your children's children depends on your decision. What do you do?

According to Christopher Cole, in order to be successful the hundred year portfolio must be able to navigate the secular booms of the market (1947-1963,1984-2007) while not losing capital during periods of economic contraction, stagnation, and renewal (1929-1946, 1964-1983). In pursuit of this, many investors assemble a varied portfolio of asset classes thinking there is safety in diversification, but in a crisis, such portfolios often collapse right along with the broader markets. Another class of investors believes they can always time the wild cycles of risk when, in fact, they can barely manage the demons of their greed and fear. The greatest threat to a hundred years of prosperity, according to Chris Cole, is neglecting the lessons from long-term financial history and having no true diversification against secular change. Accordingly, the solution is to find assets that can perform when stocks and bonds don't and boldly size them in one's portfolio regardless of short term performance. Long Volatility, Gold, Commodity Trend, and Discretionary Global Macro, according to Mr. Cole, should be core portfolio holdings and not just periphery investments. The investor can then apply margin to the risk-balanced portfolio to meet return targets, rather than seek the excess return from components.

The first part of today's conversation explores the investing landscape in which retail investors and professional money managers alike find themselves in today. Chris and Demetri discuss factors that have led to volatility suppression and the build-up of risk in financial markets. 

During the overtime segment, Chris shares his views on what assets should occupy such a portfolio, in what quantities, and how retail and accredited investors alike might approach the task of building and protecting generational wealth that can last a hundred years. 

You can access the overtime, transcript, and rundown to this week's episode through the Hidden Forces Patreon Page. All subscribers also gain access to our overtime feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application. 

Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas

Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

Subscribe & Support the Podcast at http://patreon.com/hiddenforces

Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod

Transcript

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0:00.0

Today's episode of Hidden Forces is made possible by listeners like you.

0:04.4

For more information about this week's episode or for easy access to related programming

0:09.7

visit our website at hidden Forces. I.O. and subscribe to our free email list.

0:16.4

If you listen to the show on your Apple Podcast app, remember, you can give us a review.

0:21.5

Each review helps more people find the show and join our

0:24.9

amazing community. And with that, please enjoy this week's episode. And the What's up everybody? My guest today is Christopher Cole, the founder of Artemis Capital Management, whose core focus

0:56.7

is systemic, quantitative, and behavioral-based trading of volatility and derivatives. Chris's research is highly influential in derivative and macro trading circles and widely quoted by the financial press.

1:10.0

His 2012 research paper entitled Volatility at World's End was credited with

1:16.4

re-pricing long-dated volatility and named one of the best macroeconomic

1:22.3

thought pieces of the last decade.

1:25.0

Chris, welcome back to Hidden Forces.

1:28.0

Thanks, it's great to be back.

1:29.0

It's been about two years and it's really good to be back on the show.

1:32.0

It's actually, I think think been almost three years.

1:34.8

Yeah. So you are our episode five that's right. Yeah and I was telling you that I was so excited

1:41.1

when we first started the program.

1:42.5

It was also so exciting having you there and having you fortuitously in person.

1:46.7

Our audience knows, some people know this because I've mentioned this on one or two podcasts

1:51.6

that I had first met you and come across your work in 2012 at

1:56.8

Grant's Fall Conference. And actually me and Jim talked about this recently. He was recently on the program

2:02.2

and I think you had presented at the time, was it

2:04.8

volatility at World's End, was that the paper?

...

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