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Best of the Spectator

Chinese Whispers: does China need a new economic playbook?

Best of the Spectator

The Spectator

News, Daily News, Society & Culture, News Commentary

4.3826 Ratings

🗓️ 7 August 2023

⏱️ 41 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

At the end of last year, some thought that the Chinese economic recovery after three years of zero Covid could happen just as fast as zero Covid itself ended being government policy. I admit, that included me.

And yet, more than halfway into 2023, that recovery looks increasingly elusive. The Chinese economy has failed to shake off its own long Covid while other structural problems have reared their heads.

What does the future hold for the Chinese economy? Is this the new normal? And if so, is that really a problem?

I’m joined on this episode by the economist Keyu Jin, author of The New China Playbook: Beyond Socialism and Capitalism. Keyu is an associate professor at the London School of Economics and advised and consulted for the World Bank and the IMF.

Keyu has divided opinion. Unlike some other English-language economists, she is sympathetic to the Chinese political and economic structure, arguing, as you’ll hear, that Chinese state intervention can often virtuous; that the Chinese people value stability more than liberty. On the episode, I challenge these views as we discuss what the macro data tells us about the health of the Chinese economy, and whether there are reasons to be optimistic for China's politics and economy in the years to come.

Produced by Cindy Yu.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Transcript

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0:00.0

The Spectator magazine combines incisive political analysis with books and arts reviews of unrivaled authority. Absolutely free. Go to spectator.com.uk forward slash voucher.

0:32.0

Hello and welcome to Chinese Whispers with me, Cindy Yu.

0:35.5

Every episode, I'll be talking to journalists, experts,

0:38.0

and long-time China watches about the latest in Chinese politics, society and more.

0:43.3

There'll be a smattering of history to catch you up on the background knowledge and some

0:46.8

context as well. How did the Chinese see these issues? At the end of last year, some thought

0:53.2

that the Chinese economic recovery after three years

0:55.6

of zero COVID could happen just as fast as zero COVID itself ended.

1:00.4

I admit that included me.

1:02.7

And yet, more than halfway into 2023, that recovery looks increasingly elusive.

1:08.4

The Chinese economy has failed to shake off its own long COVID, while other

1:12.3

structural problems have reared their heads. What does the future hold for the economy? Is this the new

1:17.7

normal? And if so, is that a problem? Or is there a different way forward for China? I'm joined on

1:23.5

this episode by the economist Kewu Jing, author of the New China Playbook, Beyond Socialism and Capitalism.

1:30.4

Kew is an associate professor at the London School of Economics and has advised and consulted for the World Bank and the IMF.

1:37.3

She has also divided opinion. Unlike some other English language economists, she is sympathetic to the Chinese political and economic structure,

1:45.5

arguing, as you're here in this episode, that Chinese state intervention can often be virtuous,

1:50.6

that the Chinese people value stability over liberty. On the episode, I challenged these views,

1:56.8

and you might find yourself disagreeing with some of them too. But whatever you might think of a political distance,

2:01.9

and it's interesting to hear why an economist, educated in the West,

2:05.1

might have such a different perspective.

2:07.7

First, I started by asking her to carry out a stock take of the Chinese economy.

...

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